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<title>Alviss AI Blog</title>
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<item>
  <title>Attribution in Neural Network based Marketing Mix Models</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/attribution-in-neural-networks-based-mmm/</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>“What’s the effect of Brand on Sales?”</p>
<p>It’s one of the most common questions we get from marketing leaders. And the honest answer is: it depends entirely on what you mean by <em>effect</em>, and whether you’ve actually modeled Brand as its own thing or just stuffed it into Sales alongside everything else.</p>
<p>In a flat MMM where every driver hits Sales directly, attribution is boring. Spend goes in, contribution comes out, the numbers sum to one hundred percent and everyone goes home. The moment you start modeling the business the way it actually works, though, with Brand driving Sales, Media driving Brand, NPS driving both, things get interesting. And a lot of the industry, in my experience, hasn’t really thought the argument through to the end.</p>
<p>This post is about what happens when you do. We’re going to walk through a tiny neural network based MMM, make up some numbers, and work out two different but equally reasonable definitions of attribution. Then we’ll show why you can use one or the other, but you absolutely cannot mix them without double-counting. It’s a thought experiment, not a case study, and I’d encourage you to play with the numbers yourself.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-flat-case-where-nothing-interesting-happens" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-flat-case-where-nothing-interesting-happens">The flat case, where nothing interesting happens</h2>
<p>Let’s start with a toy model where <code>Sales</code> is our response and everything else is a driver that points straight at it. I’ve written the contribution of each driver on the edge, as a percentage of total <code>Sales</code> volume.</p>
<div class="cell" data-layout-align="default">
<div class="cell-output-display">
<div id="fig-base1-graph" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-base1-graph-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<div>
<pre class="mermaid mermaid-js" data-label="fig-base1-graph">flowchart LR

I2("Base (Sales)")
S2("Season (Sales)")
M(Media)
B(Brand)
S([Sales])

I2 --&gt; |50%| S
S2 --&gt; |0%| S
M --&gt; |20%| S
B --&gt; |30%| S
</pre>
</div>
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-base1-graph-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;1: A flat model implemented as a neural network. Each box represents a group of variables; percentages are the share of Sales volume attributed to that driver.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>Read the graph right to left: <code>Sales</code> is explained by <code>Base</code>, <code>Season</code>, <code>Brand</code>, and <code>Media</code>, contributing 50%, 0%, 30%, and 20% respectively. <code>Season</code> sits at zero here only because we’re pretending we have exactly enough weeks for the positive and negative swings to cancel out. In the real world it won’t, but that’s beside the point.</p>
<p>This is easy. There’s one path from each driver into <code>Sales</code>, the numbers add to 100%, and there’s nothing to argue about. This post is dedicated to the case where things stop being that nice.</p>
</section>
<section id="adding-a-level-direct-attribution" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="adding-a-level-direct-attribution">Adding a level: Direct attribution</h2>
<p>Now let’s make it interesting. In the next graph we lift <code>Brand</code> up to being a response variable in its own right, with its own drivers. <code>Media</code> now affects <code>Brand</code> <em>and</em> <code>Sales</code>.</p>
<div class="cell" data-layout-align="default">
<div class="cell-output-display">
<div id="fig-base2-graph" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-base2-graph-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<div>
<pre class="mermaid mermaid-js" data-label="fig-base2-graph">flowchart LR

I1("Base (Brand)")
I2("Base (Sales)")
S1("Season (Brand)")
S2("Season (Sales)")
M(Media)
B([Brand])
S([Sales])

I1 --&gt; |60%| B
I2 --&gt; |50%| S
S1 --&gt; |30%| B
S2 --&gt; |0%| S
M --&gt; |10%| B
M --&gt; |20%| S
B --&gt; |30%| S
</pre>
</div>
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-base2-graph-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;2: A hierarchical model where Brand is both a driver of Sales and a response in its own right.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>Same question: how much of <code>Sales</code> volume is attributed to each variable? Well, <code>Base (Sales)</code> is 50%, <code>Season (Sales)</code> is 0%, <code>Brand</code> is 30%, and <code>Media</code> is 20%. The numbers still add up.</p>
<p>But hang on. That’s the same Media contribution as before, even though Media now also helps build Brand, which in turn drives Sales. Something’s off. Or rather, we’ve silently picked a particular definition of attribution without saying so out loud. Let’s name it.</p>
<div class="callout callout-style-simple callout-none no-icon callout-titled">
<div class="callout-header d-flex align-content-center">
<div class="callout-icon-container">
<i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
</div>
<div class="callout-title-container flex-fill">
<span class="screen-reader-only">None</span>Direct attribution
</div>
</div>
<div class="callout-body-container callout-body">
<p>The attributed effect from variables connected directly (through a single edge) to the response.</p>
</div>
</div>
<p>In Direct attribution we only count drivers one edge away from the response we’re decomposing. So when we attribute <code>Sales</code>, <code>Base (Brand)</code> and <code>Season (Brand)</code> never enter the picture because they don’t touch <code>Sales</code> directly. Media keeps its 20% edge to <code>Sales</code> and that’s all it gets credited with.</p>
<p>This is a perfectly legitimate way to report results. It’s just one specific question: <em>given the thing immediately upstream of Sales, how much did each immediate driver contribute?</em></p>
</section>
<section id="following-the-paths-total-attribution" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="following-the-paths-total-attribution">Following the paths: Total attribution</h2>
<p>But maybe that’s not the question you actually want answered. Maybe you want to know the <em>total</em> effect <code>Media</code> had on <code>Sales</code>, including the bit that came through <code>Brand</code>. Then we need to follow every path Media can take to reach Sales.</p>
<p>Media has two paths in Figure&nbsp;2. The direct one (20%) and the detour through Brand. The Brand detour contributes 10% of Brand’s 30% share of Sales, so <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.1%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20=%200.03">, or 3%. Total Media effect: 23%.</p>
<p>But if Media is now 23% of Sales, Brand can’t also be 30%. Attribution is a zero-sum game. Brand’s 30% has to be split among whatever feeds into Brand. <code>Base (Brand)</code> gets credited with <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.6%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20=%2018%5C%25"> of Sales, <code>Season (Brand)</code> with <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.3%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20=%209%5C%25">, and Media picks up the remaining 3%. Brand itself? Brand gets nothing. It’s an intermediate, and its share has been fully passed through to the things upstream of it.</p>
<div class="callout callout-style-simple callout-none no-icon callout-titled">
<div class="callout-header d-flex align-content-center">
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<i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
</div>
<div class="callout-title-container flex-fill">
<span class="screen-reader-only">None</span>Total attribution
</div>
</div>
<div class="callout-body-container callout-body">
<p>The attributed effect of leaf nodes in the graph, following any number of edges up to the response.</p>
</div>
</div>
<p>A leaf node is a node with no incoming edges. Only outgoing. The little graph below shows the convention: a square is a leaf (a true driver), a rounded box is a response (something being modeled).</p>
<div class="cell" data-layout-align="default">
<div class="cell-output-display">
<div>
<p></p><figure class="figure"><p></p>
<div>
<pre class="mermaid mermaid-js">flowchart TB

Leaf(Leaf node)
Response([Response node])
</pre>
</div>
<p></p></figure><p></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>With that definition, Total attribution for <code>Sales</code> in Figure&nbsp;2 looks like Table&nbsp;1. <code>Brand</code> doesn’t appear because it’s not a leaf. And a small warning: don’t conflate <em>Direct connection</em> (an edge in the graph) with <em>Direct attribution</em> (the definition above). I picked the names; I’ll take the blame.</p>
<div id="tbl-tot-att-base2" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-tbl figure">
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-top quarto-float-caption quarto-float-tbl" id="tbl-tot-att-base2-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Table&nbsp;1: Total attribution for Figure&nbsp;2. Only leaf nodes contribute.
</figcaption>
<div aria-describedby="tbl-tot-att-base2-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<table class="caption-top table">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 25%">
<col style="width: 30%">
<col style="width: 33%">
<col style="width: 10%">
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr class="header">
<th>Variable</th>
<th>Direct connection</th>
<th>Indirect connection</th>
<th>Total</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Base (Sales)</td>
<td>50%</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>50%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Season (Sales)</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>0%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Base (Brand)</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.6%20%5Ctimes%200.3"> = 18%</td>
<td>18%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Season (Brand)</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.3%20%5Ctimes%200.3"> = 9%</td>
<td>9%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Media</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.1%20%5Ctimes%200.3"> = 3%</td>
<td>23%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Total</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>30%</td>
<td>100%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Five leaf nodes, five rows, summing to 100%. And the punchline worth staring at for a second:</p>
<div class="callout callout-style-simple callout-none no-icon">
<div class="callout-body d-flex">
<div class="callout-icon-container">
<i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
</div>
<div class="callout-body-container">
<p>A response node in your graph can never contribute to the Total attribution of a downstream response.</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>The moment you decide to model <code>Brand</code>, you’ve committed to explaining it. And once it’s explained, its share of downstream Sales belongs, mechanically, to the things that explain it. You don’t get to count it twice.</p>
</section>
<section id="three-levels-deep" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="three-levels-deep">Three levels deep</h2>
<p>Since you’re still here, let’s go one level further. This time we have a first-level response (<code>Brand</code>), a second-level response (<code>NPS</code>), and a third-level response (<code>Sales</code>). <code>Brand</code> feeds both <code>NPS</code> and <code>Sales</code>; <code>NPS</code> feeds <code>Sales</code>.</p>
<div class="cell" data-layout-align="default">
<div class="cell-output-display">
<div id="fig-base3-graph" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-base3-graph-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<div>
<pre class="mermaid mermaid-js" data-label="fig-base3-graph">flowchart LR

I1("Base (Brand)")
I2("Base (Sales)")
I3("Base (NPS)")
S1("Season (Brand)")
S2("Season (Sales)")
M(Media)
B([Brand])
S([Sales])
N([NPS])

I1 --&gt; |60%| B
I2 --&gt; |30%| S
S1 --&gt; |30%| B
S2 --&gt; |10%| S
M --&gt; |10%| B
M --&gt; |20%| S
B --&gt; |30%| S
B --&gt; |30%| N
I3 --&gt; |70%| N
N --&gt; |10%| S
</pre>
</div>
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-base3-graph-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;3: A three-level hierarchical model. Brand drives NPS and Sales; NPS drives Sales; Media touches Brand and Sales directly.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>Direct attribution for <code>Sales</code> is the easy bit. We take everything with an edge into <code>Sales</code>: <code>Base (Sales)</code> at 30%, <code>Season (Sales)</code> at 10%, <code>Media</code> at 20%, <code>Brand</code> at 30%, and <code>NPS</code> at 10%. Sums to 100%. Done.</p>
<p>Total attribution is where the bookkeeping starts earning its keep. The method is the same as before: trace paths either backwards from the response or forwards from each leaf. The answer’s in Table&nbsp;2.</p>
<div id="tbl-tot-att-base3" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-tbl figure">
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-top quarto-float-caption quarto-float-tbl" id="tbl-tot-att-base3-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Table&nbsp;2: Total attribution for Figure&nbsp;3. Only leaf nodes contribute.
</figcaption>
<div aria-describedby="tbl-tot-att-base3-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<table class="caption-top table">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 21%">
<col style="width: 25%">
<col style="width: 43%">
<col style="width: 9%">
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr class="header">
<th>Variable</th>
<th>Direct connection</th>
<th>Indirect connection</th>
<th>Total</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Base (Sales)</td>
<td>30%</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>30%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Season (Sales)</td>
<td>10%</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td>10%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Base (Brand)</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.6%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20+%200.6%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20%5Ctimes%200.1"> = 19.8%</td>
<td>19.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Season (Brand)</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.3%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20+%200.3%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20%5Ctimes%200.1"> = 9.9%</td>
<td>9.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Base (NPS)</td>
<td>0%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.7%20%5Ctimes%200.1"> = 7%</td>
<td>7%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Media</td>
<td>20%</td>
<td><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.1%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20+%200.1%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20%5Ctimes%200.1"> = 3.3%</td>
<td>23.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Total</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>30%</td>
<td>100%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Look at the Media row. Media has a direct path (20%), a path through Brand (<code>Media -&gt; Brand -&gt; Sales</code> = <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.1%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20=%203%5C%25">), and a path through Brand and then NPS (<code>Media -&gt; Brand -&gt; NPS -&gt; Sales</code> = <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?0.1%20%5Ctimes%200.3%20%5Ctimes%200.1%20=%200.3%5C%25">). That’s 23.3% total. The same logic applies to every other leaf. You do the algebra once and then it’s just a walk along the graph.</p>
<p>Visually, I find the Sankey diagram in Figure&nbsp;4 the easiest way to internalize what’s happening. You can see the volume of Sales flowing backwards, through the intermediate responses, and fanning out into the leaves.</p>
<div id="fig-sankey" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-sankey-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/attribution-in-neural-networks-based-mmm/sankey.png" class="img-fluid figure-img">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-sankey-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;4: A Sankey diagram showing Sales volume flowing back through Brand and NPS to the leaf-node drivers.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
</section>
<section id="why-this-matters-for-how-you-report" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-this-matters-for-how-you-report">Why this matters for how you report</h2>
<p>The technical argument is neat. The practical consequence is where teams get burned.</p>
<p>If you report Total attribution for your leaf drivers <em>and</em> also report that “Brand contributes 30% to Sales”, you have double-counted. Brand’s contribution has already been decomposed and handed out to Base (Brand), Season (Brand), and Media. Reporting it again, on top of those, makes your numbers sum to something greater than 100%, and makes it look like your marketing is doing more than it is. I’ve seen this in real decks. It’s not a rounding error. It’s a category mistake.</p>
<p>The principled way to report results in a hierarchical MMM is to pick your lens deliberately:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>For optimization decisions</strong> (where should the next euro go?), you almost always want Total attribution on leaf drivers. You’re asking about actionable levers, and Media or Base (Brand) are levers. Brand is not a lever you can buy directly.</li>
<li><strong>For diagnostic storytelling</strong> (what’s driving what?), Direct attribution gives you the immediate explanation. It tells you that Brand carries 30% of Sales in the most recent period, which is a useful thing to know when you’re trying to understand the shape of the business.</li>
</ul>
<p>Just don’t mix them in the same table. Pick a lens. Label it clearly. Stick to it.</p>
</section>
<section id="where-alviss-ai-sits-on-this" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="where-alviss-ai-sits-on-this">Where Alviss AI sits on this</h2>
<p>We build hierarchical Bayesian MMMs at Alviss AI, and this is exactly the kind of thing we’ve had to get opinionated about. When you model a business holistically, with Brand, NPS, Customer Experience, or any other intermediate KPI as first-class responses, you inherit the attribution question in full. The platform enforces the distinction between Direct and Total attribution explicitly, and it won’t let you sum them into the same column. Not because we enjoy being strict, but because the arithmetic quietly breaks if you do.</p>
<p>The upside of modeling this way, of course, is that you get to ask richer questions. <em>How much of my Media spend is earning its keep by building Brand rather than driving Sales this week?</em> is a question that a flat MMM can’t answer at all. A hierarchical one can, cleanly, as long as you’re disciplined about which attribution lens you’re using when.</p>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion</h2>
<p>Attribution in a neural network based MMM isn’t one thing. It’s at least two things: Direct, which only counts edges one step from the response, and Total, which traces every path back to the leaves. Both are legitimate. Neither is wrong. But they answer different questions, and the moment you have intermediate responses in your model (Brand, NPS, anything you’ve chosen to explain rather than just consume), you have to commit to one.</p>
<p>The rule I’d leave you with: any response node in your graph contributes zero to the Total attribution of something downstream of it. If that feels counter-intuitive, go back to Table&nbsp;1 and stare at it until it doesn’t. And if your current reporting has Brand and Media both contributing to Sales under the same definition, you have some bookkeeping to do.</p>
<p>If you want to talk about how this shows up in your own modeling setup, or you think I’ve missed something (which happens), <a href="https://alviss.io">reach out</a>. I’d rather be corrected than comfortable.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Neural networks</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>marketing mix modeling explained</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Bayesian marketing mix modeling</category>
  <category>media mix modeling</category>
  <category>hierarchical MMM</category>
  <category>brand attribution</category>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/attribution-in-neural-networks-based-mmm/</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2026 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/attribution-in-neural-networks-based-mmm/sankey.png" medium="image" type="image/png" height="96" width="144"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>What is Marketing Mix Modeling? A Practical Guide for Modern Marketers</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/what-is-marketing-mix-modeling/</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>If you’ve been anywhere near a marketing analytics conversation in the last few years, you’ve heard the term “Marketing Mix Modeling” (or MMM) thrown around. A lot. It’s gone from a niche econometric technique that media agencies ran once a year to something every data-driven marketing team is expected to have an opinion on.</p>
<p>But what actually <em>is</em> it? And why should you care in 2026?</p>
<p>I’ve been building marketing mix models for over a decade. First at Blackwood Seven (which was acquired by Kantar), then at Alviss AI, where we’ve spent years turning what used to be a slow, consultant-heavy process into something that runs continuously and actually helps people make decisions. So I have some opinions. But before we get to opinions, let’s start with the fundamentals.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-core-idea" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-core-idea">The core idea</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling is, at its heart, a statistical method for answering a deceptively simple question: <em>which of the things I’m spending money on are actually working, and by how much?</em></p>
<p>You take historical data on your business outcomes (revenue, conversions, signups, whatever matters to you) and your marketing activities (media spend, impressions, GRPs, campaign flights) along with external factors that also affect your business (seasonality, weather, competitor activity, economic indicators). Then you build a model that separates the contribution of each driver.</p>
<p>That’s it. That’s the core idea.</p>
<div id="fig-mmm-data-flow" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="A flowchart showing MMM data inputs (media spend, external factors, business data) flowing into a statistical model that produces channel contributions, ROI estimates, and budget optimization.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-mmm-data-flow-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/what-is-marketing-mix-modeling/mmm-data-flow.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A flowchart showing MMM data inputs (media spend, external factors, business data) flowing into a statistical model that produces channel contributions, ROI estimates, and budget optimization.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-mmm-data-flow-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;1: How Marketing Mix Modeling works: from data inputs through the model to actionable outputs.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Ok fine, but why is this hard? Because these signals are tangled together in the real world. You run TV and digital simultaneously. Sales go up in December regardless of what you do. A competitor launches a price war in Q3. A new product hits the shelves in the same week you increase your social spend. The model’s job is to disentangle all of this and give you a credible estimate of what each factor actually contributed.</p>
</section>
<section id="how-it-actually-works" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-it-actually-works">How it actually works</h2>
<p>Let’s walk through the mechanics without getting too deep into the math (we’ll save that for a future post on response curves and adstock).</p>
<p>At the most basic level, an MMM is a regression model. You’re predicting your KPI (let’s say weekly revenue) as a function of your marketing inputs and control variables. Something like:</p>
<p><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?%0A%5Ctext%7BRevenue%7D_t%20=%20%5Ctext%7BBase%7D_t%20+%20f(%5Ctext%7BTV%7D_t)%20+%20f(%5Ctext%7BDigital%7D_t)%20+%20f(%5Ctext%7BSearch%7D_t)%20+%20%5Cldots%20+%20%5Ctext%7BControls%7D_t%20+%20%5Cvarepsilon_t%0A"></p>
<p>Where <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?%5Ctext%7BBase%7D_t"> captures the revenue you’d get even with zero marketing (brand strength, distribution, organic demand), each <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?f(%5Ccdot)"> is a transformation of a media channel that accounts for how advertising actually behaves, <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?%5Ctext%7BControls%7D_t"> captures external factors, and <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?%5Cvarepsilon_t"> is the stuff the model can’t explain.</p>
<p>Now, those <img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?f(%5Ccdot)"> transformations are where the real modeling happens. Two concepts matter here:</p>
<p><strong>Adstock (or carryover):</strong> When you see a TV ad today, it doesn’t just affect your behavior today. It lingers. You might buy something next week because of an ad you saw three weeks ago. Adstock transformations model this decay, the idea that advertising has a half-life. The shape of that decay varies by channel. TV tends to have longer carryover than paid search, for example.</p>
<p><strong>Saturation (or diminishing returns):</strong> Doubling your spend on a channel does not double your return. At some point, you’re hitting the same people too many times, or you’ve already captured the easy conversions. Response curves model this saturation, and they’re critical for optimization because they tell you where each additional dollar starts to lose its punch.</p>
<div id="fig-response-curve" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="An XY chart showing a response curve where incremental revenue flattens as media spend increases, illustrating diminishing returns and the saturation point.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-response-curve-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/what-is-marketing-mix-modeling/response-curve.png" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="An XY chart showing a response curve where incremental revenue flattens as media spend increases, illustrating diminishing returns and the saturation point.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-response-curve-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;2: Saturation and diminishing returns: spending more on a channel yields progressively smaller gains.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Get these two things right, and you have a model that can decompose your revenue into contributions from each channel and external factor. Get them wrong, and you’re just doing expensive curve fitting.</p>
</section>
<section id="why-mmm-is-back-and-why-it-never-really-left" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-mmm-is-back-and-why-it-never-really-left">Why MMM is back (and why it never really left)</h2>
<p>MMM has been around since the 1960s. It was the standard approach for decades, then fell somewhat out of fashion when digital marketing arrived with its promise of tracking every click and attributing every conversion. Multi-touch attribution (MTA) became the shiny new thing.</p>
<p>So what happened? Reality happened.</p>
<p>Third-party cookies are effectively dead. Apple’s App Tracking Transparency gutted mobile attribution. Privacy regulations (GDPR, CCPA, and their descendants) have made user-level tracking increasingly difficult and legally risky. The “track everything” model of MTA has been eroding for years, and in 2026 there’s no pretending it’s coming back.</p>
<p>But the need to understand what drives your business hasn’t gone anywhere. If anything, it’s more urgent. Marketing budgets are under more scrutiny than ever, and CFOs want answers that go beyond “the algorithm says so.”</p>
<p>MMM doesn’t need cookies. It doesn’t need user-level tracking. It works with aggregated data (spend by week, impressions by channel) that you already have. It works for offline channels that MTA never could touch. And modern MMM, built on Bayesian inference rather than the frequentist regressions of the 1990s, can quantify uncertainty in a way that actually helps decision-makers understand what they know and what they don’t.</p>
</section>
<section id="classical-mmm-vs.-modern-bayesian-mmm" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="classical-mmm-vs.-modern-bayesian-mmm">Classical MMM vs.&nbsp;modern Bayesian MMM</h2>
<p>This is where it gets interesting, and where a lot of the confusion in the market lives.</p>
<p>Classical MMM, the kind that consulting firms have been running for decades, typically uses ordinary least squares (OLS) regression or some variant. You throw your data in, you get point estimates out, and you hope the confidence intervals are narrow enough to be useful. The model runs once, maybe twice a year. It takes months. It costs a lot.</p>
<p>Modern MMM is different in a few important ways:</p>
<p><strong>Bayesian inference:</strong> Instead of just getting point estimates, you get full probability distributions over your parameters. This means you can say “we’re 90% confident that TV contributes between 8% and 14% of revenue” rather than “TV contributes 11%.” That range matters. It’s the difference between a number someone prints on a slide and a number someone actually uses to make a decision.</p>
<p><strong>Prior knowledge:</strong> In a Bayesian framework, you can encode what you already know. If you know that TV doesn’t have a negative effect on sales (that would be pretty weird), you can build that into the model. If you have results from previous quarters, you can use them to inform the current model. This isn’t cheating. It’s being honest about the information you have. The prior should reflect your knowledge, not be adapted to fit your data.</p>
<p><strong>Frequent updates:</strong> There’s no reason to wait six months between model runs. Modern platforms (including ours at Alviss AI) refit models daily or weekly as new data arrives. This turns MMM from a periodic strategic exercise into a continuous decision-support system.</p>
<p><strong>Uncertainty-aware optimization:</strong> When you optimize budget allocation, the uncertainty matters. A channel with high average ROI but massive uncertainty is a very different bet than one with moderate ROI and tight confidence. Bayesian MMM gives you the information to make that distinction. Classical MMM doesn’t.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-mmm-can-and-cant-tell-you" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-mmm-can-and-cant-tell-you">What MMM can (and can’t) tell you</h2>
<p>Let’s be honest about both sides.</p>
<p><strong>MMM is good at:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Measuring the incremental contribution of each marketing channel to your business outcomes</li>
<li>Estimating ROI and marginal ROI by channel</li>
<li>Optimizing budget allocation across channels</li>
<li>Capturing offline media effects (TV, radio, print, OOH) that digital attribution misses entirely</li>
<li>Providing a privacy-compliant measurement framework</li>
<li>Separating marketing effects from external factors like seasonality and economic trends</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>MMM is less good at:</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Real-time, campaign-level optimization (it works at a higher level of granularity, typically weekly or biweekly)</li>
<li>Measuring creative effectiveness within a channel (it tells you “digital display drove X” but not which specific banner did the work)</li>
<li>Working with very short data histories (you generally need 2-3 years of data for reliable estimates)</li>
<li>Establishing true causality without experimental validation (it’s still an observational model, even if a good one)</li>
</ul>
<p>Anyone who tells you MMM solves everything is selling you something. But for the question “how should I allocate my marketing budget across channels to maximize business outcomes,” it’s the best tool we have. Especially now that the alternatives have had their legs cut out from under them.</p>
</section>
<section id="where-mmm-fits-in-your-measurement-stack" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="where-mmm-fits-in-your-measurement-stack">Where MMM fits in your measurement stack</h2>
<p>MMM doesn’t replace everything else. It works best as part of a broader measurement approach:</p>
<p><strong>MMM</strong> gives you the top-down, strategic view: which channels are working, how much to spend where, and what the diminishing returns look like.</p>
<p><strong>Experiments</strong> (geo-lift tests, A/B tests, incrementality tests) give you causal validation. They’re the ground truth that calibrates your MMM. If your model says paid social drives 15% of incremental revenue, a geo-lift test can confirm or challenge that estimate. The best MMM implementations feed experimental results back into the model as calibration priors.</p>
<p><strong>Attribution tools</strong> (whatever survives the privacy transition) give you the granular, tactical view within digital channels: which campaigns, audiences, and creatives are performing.</p>
<div id="fig-measurement-stack" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="A diagram showing how MMM provides strategic budget allocation, experiments provide causal validation, and attribution provides tactical optimization, all feeding into each other.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-measurement-stack-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/what-is-marketing-mix-modeling/measurement-stack.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A diagram showing how MMM provides strategic budget allocation, experiments provide causal validation, and attribution provides tactical optimization, all feeding into each other.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-measurement-stack-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;3: The modern measurement stack: MMM, experiments, and attribution working together.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Think of MMM as the map, experiments as the ground surveys, and attribution as the GPS. You need all three, but the map is what you plan with.</p>
</section>
<section id="getting-started-with-mmm" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="getting-started-with-mmm">Getting started with MMM</h2>
<p>If you’re considering MMM for your organization, here’s what I’d think about:</p>
<p><strong>Data readiness:</strong> You need historical data on your KPI and marketing activities, ideally 2-3 years at weekly granularity. You also need data on external factors: holidays, promotions, competitor activity, macroeconomic indicators. The quality of your MMM is directly proportional to the quality and granularity of your data.</p>
<p><strong>Model transparency:</strong> Insist on understanding what’s inside the model. Can you see the response curves? The adstock parameters? The prior distributions? If a vendor hands you a black box with numbers coming out, walk away. I myself despise black boxes. The whole point of MMM is to build understanding, not to replace one opaque system with another.</p>
<p><strong>Bayesian or bust:</strong> In 2026, there’s no good reason to use frequentist MMM. The Bayesian approach gives you uncertainty quantification, the ability to encode prior knowledge, and more stable estimates with limited data. If your vendor is still running OLS regressions, they’re a decade behind.</p>
<p><strong>Continuous, not annual:</strong> The old model of running MMM once a year is dead. Markets move too fast. Your model should update as new data comes in, giving you a living view of performance rather than a stale snapshot.</p>
<p><strong>Validation through experiments:</strong> Budget for geo-lift tests or other incrementality experiments to calibrate your model. An MMM without experimental validation is an opinion with math around it.</p>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling is the most practical, privacy-compliant, and methodologically sound way to understand what drives your business outcomes and how to allocate your marketing budget. It’s been around for decades, but the modern Bayesian incarnation is a fundamentally different (and better) animal than what agencies were running in the 2000s.</p>
<p>The question isn’t whether you need MMM. If you’re spending meaningful money on marketing across multiple channels, you do. The question is whether you’re going to build it yourself, use an open-source framework, or work with a platform that handles the infrastructure, the modeling, and the continuous updates for you.</p>
<p>At Alviss AI, we’ve built our platform around Bayesian MMM with daily model refitting, full model transparency, and uncertainty-aware optimization. Not because it’s trendy, but because after a decade of building these models, we know it’s the right way to do it. If you want to see what that looks like in practice, <a href="https://alviss.io">get in touch</a>.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>what is marketing mix modeling</category>
  <category>marketing mix modeling explained</category>
  <category>MMM guide</category>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Bayesian marketing mix modeling</category>
  <category>media mix modeling</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/what-is-marketing-mix-modeling/</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2026 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/what-is-marketing-mix-modeling/mmm-data-flow.svg" medium="image" type="image/svg+xml"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Marketing Mix Modeling vs. Attribution: What’s the Difference and Which Do You Need?</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/marketing-mix-modeling-vs-attribution/</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>I get this question constantly. “Should we use Marketing Mix Modeling or attribution?” And every time, I have to resist the urge to say “yes.” Because it’s not really an either/or question. It’s like asking “should I use a map or a compass?” Well, that depends on whether you’re planning a route or trying not to walk into a lake.</p>
<p>But I get why people ask. The marketing measurement landscape is genuinely confusing right now. MTA (multi-touch attribution) used to be the default for digital teams. Then cookies started dying, Apple dropped ATT <span class="citation" data-cites="apple_att_2021">(Apple Inc. 2021)</span>, and suddenly the data pipelines that MTA depends on started looking like Swiss cheese. MMM came roaring back as the privacy-safe alternative <span class="citation" data-cites="chan_2018">(Chan and Perry 2017)</span>. And now you’ve got vendors pitching everything from “unified measurement” to “always-on incrementality” and it’s hard to know what’s actually different from what.</p>
<p>So let’s sort it out. What are these methodologies, really? What are they good at? Where do they fall apart? And how should you think about combining them?</p>
</section>
<section id="the-three-approaches-and-what-they-actually-do" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-three-approaches-and-what-they-actually-do">The three approaches (and what they actually do)</h2>
<p>There are three distinct measurement methodologies that matter. Not two. Three. People tend to frame this as “MMM vs.&nbsp;MTA” but that leaves out the one that arguably matters most for getting to truth: experiments.</p>
<section id="marketing-mix-modeling-mmm" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="marketing-mix-modeling-mmm">Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM)</h3>
<p>MMM is a top-down statistical approach that uses aggregate data (typically weekly spend, impressions, and revenue) to estimate how much each marketing channel contributes to your business outcomes <span class="citation" data-cites="hanssens_2001">(Hanssens et al. 2001)</span>. You don’t need to track individual users. You don’t need cookies. You need time-series data and a good model.</p>
<div id="fig-overview" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="A comparison diagram showing the fundamental differences between MMM, MTA, and incrementality experiments across data type, scope, and output.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-overview-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/marketing-mix-modeling-vs-attribution/mmm-vs-mta-overview.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A comparison diagram showing the fundamental differences between MMM, MTA, and incrementality experiments across data type, scope, and output.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-overview-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;1: How MMM, MTA, and experiments differ in their approach to marketing measurement.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>The model decomposes your KPI into contributions from media channels, baseline demand, and external factors (seasonality, promotions, economic conditions). It accounts for the fact that advertising has carryover effects <span class="citation" data-cites="broadbent1979 stull1965carry-over">(Broadbent 1979; Tull 1965)</span> and diminishing returns <span class="citation" data-cites="hill1910possible">(Hill 1910)</span>. Modern implementations use Bayesian inference <span class="citation" data-cites="jin2017bayesian">(<span class="nocase">Jin et al.</span> 2017)</span> to quantify uncertainty around every estimate, which means you don’t just get “TV drove 12% of revenue” but “TV drove 9-15% of revenue with 90% probability.”</p>
<p><strong>What it’s good at:</strong> Strategic budget allocation across all channels (including offline), understanding long-term effects, privacy-compliant measurement, capturing the full marketing mix.</p>
<p><strong>What it’s not good at:</strong> Real-time optimization, creative-level insights, working with less than 1-2 years of historical data.</p>
</section>
<section id="multi-touch-attribution-mta" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="multi-touch-attribution-mta">Multi-Touch Attribution (MTA)</h3>
<p>MTA is a bottom-up approach that tracks individual user journeys through digital touchpoints and assigns credit for conversions to each interaction along the path. Someone sees a display ad, clicks a search ad a week later, opens a remarketing email, then converts. MTA tries to figure out how much credit each of those touchpoints deserves.</p>
<p>Attribution models range from simple rule-based approaches (last-click, linear, time-decay) to data-driven models using Shapley values <span class="citation" data-cites="shapley1953value">(<span class="nocase">Shapley et al.</span> 1953)</span> or Markov chains. The sophisticated ones are genuinely clever pieces of engineering.</p>
<p>But here’s the problem. MTA requires something that’s increasingly hard to get: a continuous, accurate view of the user journey across devices and platforms. And that view has been systematically dismantled over the past five years.</p>
<p>Safari blocks third-party cookies entirely <span class="citation" data-cites="webkit_itp_2020">(WebKit Team 2020)</span>. iOS requires explicit opt-in for cross-app tracking (somewhere around 20-30% of users opt in). Privacy regulations restrict what you can collect and how long you can keep it. Walled gardens (Google, Meta, Amazon) don’t share user-level data across boundaries. Every one of these creates blind spots in the user journey, and MTA has no way to measure what it can’t see.</p>
<p><strong>What it’s good at:</strong> Tactical, in-flight optimization of digital campaigns. Creative and audience-level performance insights. Real-time feedback.</p>
<p><strong>What it’s not good at:</strong> Offline channels (TV, radio, OOH, print). Anything where cookies or device IDs don’t work. Cross-device journeys. Long-term brand effects. And increasingly, even the digital channels it was designed for.</p>
</section>
<section id="incrementality-experiments" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="incrementality-experiments">Incrementality experiments</h3>
<p>This is the one people forget, and it’s arguably the most important. Experiments (geo-lift tests, holdout tests, matched market tests) are the only methodology that can establish <em>causation</em> rather than correlation <span class="citation" data-cites="vaver_koehler_2011">(Vaver and Koehler 2011)</span>.</p>
<p>The idea is simple: take two comparable groups (geographic regions, audience segments), show ads to one and not the other, and measure the difference in outcomes. If the group that saw ads bought more, you’ve got an incremental effect. If they didn’t, your ads weren’t doing what you thought.</p>
<p><strong>What it’s good at:</strong> Proving causation. Calibrating MMM and attribution models. Answering “does this channel actually work?” with high confidence.</p>
<p><strong>What it’s not good at:</strong> Measuring everything at once (you test one variable at a time). Running continuously (experiments take time and require holding back spend). Cost (you’re deliberately not advertising to some people).</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="why-this-isnt-a-fair-fight-anymore" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-this-isnt-a-fair-fight-anymore">Why this isn’t a fair fight anymore</h2>
<p>Let me be direct. Five years ago, the MMM vs.&nbsp;MTA debate was a genuine one. You could reasonably argue that MTA’s granularity and speed made it the better primary measurement system for digital-heavy businesses.</p>
<p>That argument doesn’t hold up in 2026.</p>
<p>The infrastructure that MTA depends on has been systematically dismantled. It’s not a temporary setback waiting for a new tracking solution. The direction of travel is clear: less user-level tracking, not more. Every major platform, browser, and regulator is moving in the same direction.</p>
<p>This doesn’t mean MTA is useless. It means MTA can no longer be your primary measurement framework. It can still be valuable for tactical optimization within the digital channels where you have good signal. But using it as the basis for budget allocation decisions is risky because it can’t see the full picture and the picture it can see has growing holes in it.</p>
<p>MMM, by contrast, was built for a world without user-level tracking. It never needed cookies. It works with the aggregated data that privacy regulations encourage. And modern Bayesian MMM <span class="citation" data-cites="jin2017bayesian chan_2018">(<span class="nocase">Jin et al.</span> 2017; Chan and Perry 2017)</span> has closed most of the historical gaps: it updates frequently, it quantifies uncertainty, and it can incorporate experimental results as calibration priors.</p>
</section>
<section id="a-real-comparison" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="a-real-comparison">A real comparison</h2>
<p>Ok, let’s get concrete. Here’s how these three approaches actually stack up across the dimensions that matter.</p>
<table class="caption-top table">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 25%">
<col style="width: 25%">
<col style="width: 25%">
<col style="width: 25%">
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr class="header">
<th>Dimension</th>
<th>MMM</th>
<th>MTA</th>
<th>Experiments</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td><strong>Data required</strong></td>
<td>Aggregate (spend, impressions, revenue by week)</td>
<td>User-level journey data (cookies, device IDs)</td>
<td>Controlled test/holdout groups</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><strong>Channel coverage</strong></td>
<td>All channels (online + offline)</td>
<td>Digital only</td>
<td>One channel or variable at a time</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><strong>Privacy impact</strong></td>
<td>None (no user tracking)</td>
<td>Severely degraded by cookie/ATT changes</td>
<td>None (aggregate comparison)</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><strong>Time to insight</strong></td>
<td>Weeks to months (needs history)</td>
<td>Real-time to daily</td>
<td>Weeks per experiment</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><strong>Granularity</strong></td>
<td>Channel and sub-channel level</td>
<td>Campaign, creative, audience level</td>
<td>Single variable per test</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><strong>Causality</strong></td>
<td>Correlational (improved with priors and calibration)</td>
<td>Correlational (often mistaken for causal)</td>
<td>Causal by design</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><strong>Budget allocation</strong></td>
<td>Strong (this is what it’s built for)</td>
<td>Weak (can’t see full mix)</td>
<td>Not directly applicable</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td><strong>Update frequency</strong></td>
<td>Daily to weekly with modern platforms</td>
<td>Real-time</td>
<td>Per experiment cycle</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td><strong>Cost to implement</strong></td>
<td>Moderate (platform or data science team)</td>
<td>Low to moderate (most ad platforms include basic attribution)</td>
<td>High per test (opportunity cost of holdouts)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The table tells a clear story. MMM and experiments are complementary. MMM gives you the strategic allocation and experiments give you the causal validation. MTA fills a tactical niche for digital optimization but can’t anchor your measurement strategy.</p>
</section>
<section id="how-they-should-work-together" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-they-should-work-together">How they should work together</h2>
<p>The right answer isn’t picking one. It’s understanding how they fit together.</p>
<div id="fig-unified-stack" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="A diagram showing how MMM provides strategic allocation, experiments provide causal calibration, and attribution provides tactical optimization, forming a unified measurement framework.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-unified-stack-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/marketing-mix-modeling-vs-attribution/unified-stack.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A diagram showing how MMM provides strategic allocation, experiments provide causal calibration, and attribution provides tactical optimization, forming a unified measurement framework.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-unified-stack-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;2: How to build a unified measurement stack from MMM, experiments, and attribution.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p><strong>MMM sets the strategy.</strong> It tells you how much to spend on each channel and what the expected returns are. It sees the whole picture: offline, online, competitive effects, seasonality. This is your planning layer.</p>
<p><strong>Experiments calibrate the model.</strong> You run geo-lift tests on your highest-spend channels to validate (or challenge) what the MMM says. If the model says paid social drives 15% of incremental revenue, a geo-lift test can tell you whether that’s in the right ballpark. The results feed back into the model as Bayesian calibration priors, tightening the estimates over time.</p>
<p><strong>Attribution optimizes within channels.</strong> Once MMM tells you to spend €500k on digital display this quarter, attribution helps you figure out which campaigns, audiences, and creatives are working best within that envelope. It’s the tactical layer, not the strategic one.</p>
<p>This isn’t a theoretical framework. It’s how the best-performing marketing organizations actually operate. Google’s own measurement guidance recommends exactly this structure <span class="citation" data-cites="chan_2018">(Chan and Perry 2017)</span>, and it’s the approach we’ve built Alviss AI around.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-decision-guide" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-decision-guide">The decision guide</h2>
<p>Still not sure where to start? Here’s how I’d think about it.</p>
<div id="fig-decision-guide" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="A flowchart helping marketing teams decide which measurement methodology to prioritize based on their channel mix, data maturity, and measurement goals.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-decision-guide-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/marketing-mix-modeling-vs-attribution/decision-guide.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="A flowchart helping marketing teams decide which measurement methodology to prioritize based on their channel mix, data maturity, and measurement goals.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-decision-guide-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;3: A decision guide for choosing your measurement approach.
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p><strong>If you spend across both online and offline channels:</strong> You need MMM. There’s nothing else that can measure TV, radio, OOH, and digital in the same model. MTA literally cannot do this.</p>
<p><strong>If you’re a pure-play digital business:</strong> You still benefit from MMM (it captures cross-channel effects and diminishing returns that attribution misses), but you can get more tactical value from attribution in the short term. Start with MMM for budget allocation, use attribution for campaign optimization.</p>
<p><strong>If you need to prove to your CFO that marketing works:</strong> You need experiments. Nothing else establishes causation. Run a geo-lift test on your biggest channel, show the incremental lift, and suddenly the measurement conversation gets a lot easier.</p>
<p><strong>If you want to do this properly:</strong> Combine all three. MMM as the strategic backbone, experiments for calibration, attribution for tactical optimization. This is the unified measurement approach, and it’s where the industry is heading.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-common-mistakes" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-common-mistakes">The common mistakes</h2>
<p>I’ve seen a lot of measurement programs go sideways. Here are the patterns:</p>
<p><strong>Treating last-click attribution as truth.</strong> Last-click gives all credit to the final touchpoint before conversion. This systematically overvalues bottom-of-funnel channels (paid search, retargeting) and undervalues top-of-funnel (TV, display, social). Research by Gordon et al.&nbsp;showed that observational attribution methods frequently disagree with experimental ground truth <span class="citation" data-cites="gordon_2019">(Gordon et al. 2019)</span>, sometimes by a wide margin. If you’re making budget decisions based on last-click, you’re almost certainly underinvesting in awareness and overinvesting in channels that are just catching demand that already exists.</p>
<p><strong>Building MTA as your primary measurement system in 2026.</strong> The fundamental challenge with MTA isn’t just missing data. It’s that even with complete data, observational attribution struggles to distinguish correlation from causation <span class="citation" data-cites="dalessandro_2012">(Dalessandro et al. 2012)</span>. If your attribution data has holes (and it does), using it for budget allocation is like navigating with a map that’s missing half the roads. You’ll stay on the roads you can see, even if a better route exists on the ones you can’t.</p>
<p><strong>Running MMM once a year.</strong> The old consulting model of annual MMM is dead. Markets move too fast. If you’re making Q4 decisions based on a model that was last updated in Q1, you’re working with stale information. Modern MMM platforms update weekly or daily.</p>
<p><strong>Skipping experiments entirely.</strong> MMM gives you estimates. Experiments give you proof. Without experiments, your MMM is an educated guess. A good educated guess, but still a guess. Budget for at least 2-3 geo-lift tests per year on your highest-spend channels.</p>
<p><strong>Confusing measurement and optimization.</strong> Measurement tells you what happened. Optimization tells you what to do next. MMM does both. Attribution mostly just measures (though some platforms attempt optimization). Experiments just measure. Knowing which tool answers which question is half the battle.</p>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion</h2>
<p>The MMM vs.&nbsp;attribution debate made sense ten years ago when both approaches had clear, distinct strengths and you had to pick a primary framework. In 2026, the answer is clearer: MMM is your strategic measurement backbone, experiments validate it, and attribution handles tactical optimization within digital channels.</p>
<p>The organizations getting this right aren’t the ones with the most sophisticated attribution models. They’re the ones with a clear measurement hierarchy: MMM for planning, experiments for proof, attribution for execution.</p>
<p>At <a href="https://alviss.io">Alviss AI</a> <span class="citation" data-cites="alviss_2026">(Alviss AI 2026)</span>, we’ve built our platform around this philosophy. Bayesian MMM with continuous model updates, experimental calibration, and the transparency to see exactly how the model reaches its conclusions. If you’re ready to move beyond the MMM vs.&nbsp;attribution debate and build a measurement stack that actually works, <a href="https://alviss.io">let’s talk</a>.</p>



</section>

<div id="quarto-appendix" class="default"><section class="quarto-appendix-contents" id="quarto-bibliography"><h2 class="anchored quarto-appendix-heading">References</h2><div id="refs" class="references csl-bib-body hanging-indent">
<div id="ref-alviss_2026" class="csl-entry">
Alviss AI. 2026. <em>Alviss <span>AI</span>: <span>B</span>ayesian Marketing Mix Modeling Platform</em>. <a href="https://alviss.io">https://alviss.io</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-apple_att_2021" class="csl-entry">
Apple Inc. 2021. <em>App Tracking Transparency</em>. <a href="https://developer.apple.com/documentation/apptrackingtransparency">https://developer.apple.com/documentation/apptrackingtransparency</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-broadbent1979" class="csl-entry">
Broadbent, Simon. 1979. <span>“One Way TV Advertisements Work.”</span> <em>Journal of the Market Research Society</em> 21 (3): 139–66.
</div>
<div id="ref-chan_2018" class="csl-entry">
Chan, David, and Mike Perry. 2017. <span>“Challenges and Opportunities in Media Mix Modeling.”</span> <em>Technical Report, Google Inc.</em> <a href="https://research.google/pubs/pub45998/">https://research.google/pubs/pub45998/</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-dalessandro_2012" class="csl-entry">
Dalessandro, Brian, Claudia Perlich, Ori Stitelman, and Foster Provost. 2012. <span>“Causally Motivated Attribution for Online Advertising.”</span> <em>Proceedings of the Sixth International Workshop on Data Mining for Online Advertising and Internet Economy (ADKDD)</em>, ahead of print. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1145/2351356.2351363">https://doi.org/10.1145/2351356.2351363</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-gordon_2019" class="csl-entry">
Gordon, Brett R., Florian Zettelmeyer, Neha Bhatt, and Dan Chapsky. 2019. <span>“A Comparison of Approaches to Advertising Measurement: Evidence from Big Field Experiments at Facebook.”</span> <em>Marketing Science</em> 38 (2): 193–225. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.2018.1135">https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.2018.1135</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-hanssens_2001" class="csl-entry">
Hanssens, Dominique M., Leonard J. Parsons, and Randall L. Schultz. 2001. <em>Market Response Models: Econometric and Time Series Analysis</em>. 2nd ed. Kluwer Academic Publishers. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/b109775">https://doi.org/10.1007/b109775</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-hill1910possible" class="csl-entry">
Hill, Archibald Vivian. 1910. <span>“The Possible Effects of the Aggregation of the Molecules of Hemoglobin on Its Dissociation Curves.”</span> <em>J. Physiol.</em> 40: iv–vii.
</div>
<div id="ref-jin2017bayesian" class="csl-entry">
<span class="nocase">Jin, Yuxue, Yueqing Wang, Yunting Sun, et al.</span> 2017. <em>Bayesian Methods for Media Mix Modeling with Carryover and Shape Effects</em>. Google Inc.
</div>
<div id="ref-shapley1953value" class="csl-entry">
<span class="nocase">Shapley, Lloyd S et al.</span> 1953. <em>A Value for n-Person Games</em>.
</div>
<div id="ref-stull1965carry-over" class="csl-entry">
Tull, Donald S. 1965. <span>“The Carry-over Effect of Advertising.”</span> <em>Journal of Marketing</em> 29 (2): 46–53. <a href="http://www.jstor.org/stable/1249262">http://www.jstor.org/stable/1249262</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-vaver_koehler_2011" class="csl-entry">
Vaver, Jon, and Jim Koehler. 2011. <span>“Measuring Ad Effectiveness Using Geo Experiments.”</span> <em>Technical Report, Google Inc.</em> <a href="https://research.google/pubs/pub38355/">https://research.google/pubs/pub38355/</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-webkit_itp_2020" class="csl-entry">
WebKit Team. 2020. <em>Full Third-Party Cookie Blocking and More</em>. <a href="https://webkit.org/blog/10218/full-third-party-cookie-blocking-and-more/">https://webkit.org/blog/10218/full-third-party-cookie-blocking-and-more/</a>.
</div>
</div></section></div> ]]></description>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>Multi Touch Attribution</category>
  <category>marketing mix modeling vs attribution</category>
  <category>MTA vs MMM</category>
  <category>incrementality testing</category>
  <category>marketing measurement</category>
  <category>Unified Marketing Measurement</category>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/marketing-mix-modeling-vs-attribution/</guid>
  <pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2026 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/marketing-mix-modeling-vs-attribution/mmm-vs-mta-overview.svg" medium="image" type="image/svg+xml"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>MMM vs. MTA</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Marketing Mix Modeling vs Multi Touch Attribution.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>When it comes to high-stakes tasks like budget allocation, marketing analysts and marketing scientists face a challenge, how to accurately quantify the impact of every dollar spent. As the digital landscape shifts away from deterministic tracking and toward privacy-first methodologies, the debate between Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) and Multi-Touch Attribution (MTA) has resurfaced with new intensity.</p>
<p>Understanding the technical nuances, strengths, and limitations of each approach is critical for building a robust measurement stack. This guide explores the fundamental differences between these two methodologies and how they can coexist to provide a 360-degree view of marketing performance.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-is-marketing-mix-modeling-mmm" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-is-marketing-mix-modeling-mmm">What is Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM)?</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling is a top-down, macro-level statistical analysis used to estimate the impact of various marketing tactics on sales or other Key Performance Indicators (KPIs). It relies on historical aggregate data, typically looking at weekly or monthly time series across several years.</p>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/mmmvsmta.webp" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>A visual illustration of the two different methodologies of MMM and MTA.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>At its core, MMM uses multivariate regression, often employing Bayesian methods or frequentist econometrics, to decompose a KPI into its constituent drivers. These drivers include:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Media Variables:</strong> TV, radio, out-of-home, and digital spend.</li>
<li><strong>Non-Media Variables:</strong> Price changes, promotions, and distribution.</li>
<li><strong>External Factors:</strong> Seasonality, economic indicators, and competitor activity.</li>
<li><strong>The Baseline:</strong> Sales that would occur without any marketing activity.</li>
</ul>
<p>For the marketing scientist, the beauty of MMM lies in its ability to account for diminishing returns and carryover effects, often referred to as adstock. Because it uses aggregate data, it is inherently privacy-friendly and unaffected by the “cookie apocalypse” or changes in mobile tracking IDs.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-is-multi-touch-attribution-mta" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-is-multi-touch-attribution-mta">What is Multi-Touch Attribution (MTA)?</h2>
<p>Multi-Touch Attribution is a bottom-up, granular approach that seeks to assign credit to every individual touchpoint a user interacts with before converting. Unlike MMM, which looks at the forest, MTA looks at the individual trees.</p>
<p>MTA tracks the user journey across digital channels, assigning fractional credit to clicks, impressions, or engagements based on specific rules or algorithmic models. Common models include:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Linear:</strong> Evenly distributes credit across all touchpoints.</li>
<li><strong>Time-Decay:</strong> Gives more credit to touchpoints closer to the conversion.</li>
<li><strong>Data-Driven:</strong> Uses machine learning, such as Shapley Value or Markov Chains, to determine which touchpoints truly move the needle.</li>
</ul>
<p>While MTA provides tactical insights into keyword performance or creative efficacy, it has grown increasingly difficult to execute. The rise of iOS 14.5 restrictions and the deprecation of third-party cookies have created significant “dark patches” in the user journey, making it harder for analysts to maintain a clean chain of causality.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-differences-a-comparative-analysis" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-differences-a-comparative-analysis">Key Differences: A Comparative Analysis</h2>
<p>To help you decide which model fits your specific analytical needs, here is a breakdown of the primary differences.</p>
<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/mmmvsmtadecision.png" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>A decision guide for when to choose which methodology for your measurement challenge.</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="data-granularity-and-scope" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="data-granularity-and-scope">1. Data Granularity and Scope</h3>
<p>MMM operates on aggregate data, making it ideal for strategic long-term planning. It captures the impact of offline media and external market forces. In contrast, MTA requires user-level data, focusing almost exclusively on digital channels.</p>
</section>
<section id="time-horizon" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="time-horizon">2. Time Horizon</h3>
<p>MMM typically provides insights over months or quarters, helping leaders decide how to allocate annual budgets. MTA provides near-real-time feedback, allowing for daily optimizations of digital bids and placements.</p>
</section>
<section id="technical-challenges" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="technical-challenges">3. Technical Challenges</h3>
<p>For MMM, the primary challenges are multicollinearity, where different media channels are highly correlated, and the need for high-quality historical data. For MTA, the challenge is data identity, specifically the ability to track a single user across multiple devices and browsers without breaking the privacy chain.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="the-shift-toward-unified-measurement" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-shift-toward-unified-measurement">The Shift Toward Unified Measurement</h2>
<p>The most sophisticated marketing organizations no longer view this as an “either-or” scenario. Instead, they are moving toward Unified Marketing Measurement (UMM), a framework where MMM provides the strategic guardrails and MTA (or click-based attribution) provides tactical direction.</p>
<p>By using MMM to set the “North Star” for ROI, analysts can calibrate their granular attribution models to ensure they aren’t overvaluing digital channels that happen to be at the bottom of the funnel.</p>
<p>For teams looking to bridge the gap between complex statistical modeling and actionable business insights, tools like <a href="https://alviss.io">Alviss.io</a> offer advanced solutions. By automating the heavy lifting of data ingestion and model training, analysts can focus more on interpretation and less on manual data cleaning.</p>
</section>
<section id="why-mmm-is-reclaiming-the-spotlight" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-mmm-is-reclaiming-the-spotlight">Why MMM is Reclaiming the Spotlight</h2>
<p>As privacy regulations like GDPR and CCPA tighten, the “bottom-up” data required for MTA is becoming increasingly fragmented. Marketing scientists are returning to MMM because it provides a “ground truth” that does not rely on invasive tracking.</p>
<p>Furthermore, modern MMM has evolved. We are no longer limited to static, once-a-year reports. With modern computing power, models can be updated frequently, incorporating Bayesian priors to account for new market realities.</p>
</section>
<section id="conclusion-building-your-measurement-stack" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion-building-your-measurement-stack">Conclusion: Building Your Measurement Stack</h2>
<p>Choosing between MMM and MTA depends on your business model and your data maturity. If you are a direct-to-consumer brand with a heavy offline presence, MMM is non-negotiable. If you are a pure-play SaaS company with a short sales cycle, MTA might still provide significant tactical value.</p>
<p>However, for most, the future lies in a hybrid approach. Use MMM to understand the “why” and the “how much” at a high level, and use granular attribution to optimize the “where” and “when” of your digital execution.</p>
<p>To explore how you can leverage state-of-the-art modeling to optimize your marketing spend and drive higher ROI, visit <a href="https://alviss.io">Alviss.io</a> to see our suite of analytical tools in action. By empowering your team with the right technology, you can turn complex data into a competitive advantage.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>Multi Touch Attribution</category>
  <category>Marketing Measurement Framework</category>
  <category>marketing mix modeling tools</category>
  <category>Unified Marketing Measurement</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Marketing Mix Modeling vs Multi Touch Attribution.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2026 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/mmmvsmta.webp" medium="image" type="image/webp"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>The Best Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) Software in 2026</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/mmm-platforms-2026/Definitive guide to MMM software in 2026.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling is back, and this time it’s not leaving. After years of being overshadowed by multi-touch attribution, MMM has re-emerged as the measurement methodology of choice for data-driven marketing teams. The reasons are structural: the deprecation of third-party cookies, the collapse of signal fidelity in MTA, increasing walled garden opacity, and growing pressure to connect media investment to business outcomes rather than click proxies.</p>
<div id="fig-mmmvsmtavsab" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="An illustration of what the differences are between MMM, MTA and A/B-testing.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-mmmvsmtavsab-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/mmm-platforms-2026/mmmmtaab.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="An illustration of what the differences are between MMM, MTA and A/B-testing.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-mmmvsmtavsab-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;1: What is the difference between MMM, MTA and A/B testing?
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>But the MMM market in 2026 looks nothing like it did a decade ago. The old model, a six-month consultant engagement, a static PowerPoint, and a single regression output, has been replaced by a new generation of software platforms that offer Bayesian inference, multi-KPI modeling, editable model structures, and real-time budget optimization. At the same time, open-source frameworks from Google and Meta have democratized access to rigorous methodology, and legacy enterprise providers continue to serve large organizations that prefer outsourced measurement.</p>
<p>This guide maps the full landscape. It covers 15 MMM software providers across three tiers, Modern SaaS, Open-Source, and Enterprise/Consultancy, evaluated on methodology, model transparency, flexibility, in-housing capability, and pricing. The goal is to give marketing scientists, analytics leads, and CMOs a technically honest reference for making vendor decisions in 2026.</p>
<p><strong>Disclosure:</strong> This guide is published by the team at Alviss AI <span class="citation" data-cites="alviss_website_2026">(Alviss AI 2026)</span>, an MMM software provider included in this list. We have evaluated competitors as objectively as possible because the value of this guide depends on it. Alviss AI is listed first as the publishing organization, not as an editorial ranking.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-to-look-for-in-mmm-software-in-2026" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-to-look-for-in-mmm-software-in-2026">What to Look For in MMM Software in 2026</h2>
<p>Before evaluating specific providers, it is worth establishing the criteria that distinguish capable MMM platforms from limited ones. The requirements have shifted materially over the past three years.</p>
<div id="fig-whymmm" class="quarto-float quarto-figure quarto-figure-center anchored" alt="An illustration of what MMM is and how it is used.">
<figure class="quarto-float quarto-float-fig figure">
<div aria-describedby="fig-whymmm-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
<img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/mmm-platforms-2026/whymmm.svg" class="img-fluid figure-img" alt="An illustration of what MMM is and how it is used.">
</div>
<figcaption class="quarto-float-caption-bottom quarto-float-caption quarto-float-fig" id="fig-whymmm-caption-0ceaefa1-69ba-4598-a22c-09a6ac19f8ca">
Figure&nbsp;2: What is MMM used for?
</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="methodology-bayesian-vs.-frequentist" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-bayesian-vs.-frequentist">Methodology: Bayesian vs.&nbsp;frequentist</h3>
<p>The methodological divide in MMM is between Bayesian and frequentist approaches. Frequentist MMM, including standard OLS and ridge regression, produces point estimates of media effectiveness. Bayesian MMM produces full posterior distributions, meaning it quantifies uncertainty around every estimate rather than collapsing it to a single number. In practice, this means a Bayesian model can tell you not just that your TV adstock coefficient is 0.42, but that it has a 90% credible interval of 0.31 to 0.54. For budget optimization and scenario planning, this uncertainty quantification is operationally significant: it prevents over-confident reallocation decisions based on noisy estimates.</p>
</section>
<section id="model-flexibility-and-multi-kpi-support" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="model-flexibility-and-multi-kpi-support">Model flexibility and multi-KPI support</h3>
<p>Traditional MMM models a single dependent variable, typically revenue or sales. Modern marketing teams need more. Brand awareness, customer satisfaction scores, new customer acquisition, and retention metrics all respond to media investment on different timescales and through different mechanisms. The ability to model multiple KPIs simultaneously within a unified model structure is a meaningful technical differentiator in 2026, and relatively few platforms support it.</p>
</section>
<section id="transparency-and-editability-of-the-computational-graph" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="transparency-and-editability-of-the-computational-graph">Transparency and editability of the computational graph</h3>
<p>A model that cannot be inspected is a model that cannot be trusted. The best MMM platforms expose the full computational graph, the structure of transformations, priors, adstock functions, and saturation curves, and allow analysts to modify it. This matters for two reasons: first, it enables domain knowledge to be encoded directly into the model structure; second, it makes the model auditable by stakeholders outside the data science team.</p>
</section>
<section id="in-housing-capability" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="in-housing-capability">In-housing capability</h3>
<p>The shift toward in-house MMM is one of the defining trends of the current period. Teams that can run, iterate, and own their models without vendor dependency move faster and accumulate institutional knowledge. Not all platforms are built for this. Full-service and consultancy-led tools are designed to retain vendor involvement; genuinely in-houseable platforms are designed to transfer ownership.</p>
</section>
<section id="speed-and-iteration-cadence" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="speed-and-iteration-cadence">Speed and iteration cadence</h3>
<p>Annual MMM is no longer sufficient for most organizations. Monthly or even weekly model runs, combined with fast training times, allow teams to use MMM as a live planning tool rather than a retrospective audit. Training time and iteration speed are therefore practical evaluation criteria, not secondary concerns.</p>
</section>
<section id="budget-optimizer-and-scenario-planning" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="budget-optimizer-and-scenario-planning">Budget optimizer and scenario planning</h3>
<p>The downstream use case for MMM is budget allocation. A platform’s optimization engine, its ability to run forward simulations, apply constraints, and recommend spend distributions across channels, determines how directly the model output connects to business decisions.</p>
</section>
<section id="integrations-and-api-access" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="integrations-and-api-access">Integrations and API access</h3>
<p>MMM does not exist in isolation. Data flows in from ad platforms, data warehouses, CRMs, and first-party sources. The best platforms offer native connectors and API access, allowing MMM to be embedded in broader data infrastructure rather than operated as a siloed tool.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-structure" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-structure">Pricing structure</h3>
<p>Pricing models vary significantly: per-seat SaaS, media-spend-tiered fees, project retainers, and open-source (free at the software layer, costly at the infrastructure and talent layer). The pricing model affects not just cost but incentive alignment. A vendor whose fees scale with your media spend has different incentives than one charging a flat SaaS fee. The prices have been collected from vendors webpages <span class="citation" data-cites="cassandra_pricing_2026 sellforte_pricing_2026">(Cassandra 2026b; Sellforte Solutions Oy 2026b)</span> and other recent comparisons <span class="citation" data-cites="improvado_mmm_providers_2026">(Vinogradov 2026)</span>.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="the-15-best-mmm-software-providers-in-2026" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-15-best-mmm-software-providers-in-2026">The 15 Best MMM Software Providers in 2026</h2>
</section>
<section id="tier-1-modern-saas-mmm-platforms" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="tier-1-modern-saas-mmm-platforms">Tier 1: Modern SaaS MMM Platforms</h2>
<p>These platforms are purpose-built for in-house marketing teams that want to own their measurement infrastructure. They offer software interfaces, managed data pipelines, and optimization tools without requiring teams to write and maintain code from scratch. The Tier 1 landscape spans a wide range of methodological rigor, flexibility, and price points.</p>
<section id="recast" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="recast">1. Recast</h3>
<section id="overview" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview">Overview</h4>
<p>Recast <span class="citation" data-cites="recast_website_2026">(Recast 2026)</span> is a US-based Bayesian MMM platform that has built a strong reputation for methodological rigor and clear uncertainty communication. It targets performance-focused brands that want Bayesian modeling without the infrastructure burden of open-source implementation.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology">Methodology</h4>
<p>Fully Bayesian. Recast places strong emphasis on communicating model uncertainty to non-technical stakeholders, which is a genuine differentiator in environments where marketing science outputs need to influence finance or executive teams.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Recast’s Bayesian foundations are solid, and its uncertainty communication is among the clearest of any commercial platform. The scenario planning and budget optimization tools are well-developed, and the SaaS interface is accessible to analysts without deep probabilistic programming backgrounds. Recast has been particularly well-received in the DTC and performance marketing space.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Multi-KPI support is limited. Recast is primarily designed for single-target-variable modeling. Model structure flexibility is partial; analysts can configure some aspects of the model but cannot edit the full computational graph in the way that Alviss AI enables. The integration ecosystem is smaller than some competitors.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for">Best For</h4>
<p>Performance-focused DTC and e-commerce brands wanting rigorous Bayesian MMM in a managed SaaS environment.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing">Pricing</h4>
<p>SaaS. Approximately $2,000–$5,000/month (source: Improvado, 2026).</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="alviss-ai" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="alviss-ai">2. Alviss AI</h3>
<section id="overview-1" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-1">Overview</h4>
<p>Alviss AI is a Bayesian Marketing Mix Modeling platform built for in-house marketing and analytics teams. It covers the full MMM workflow: data ingestion, model configuration, training, interpretation, and budget optimization, within a single SaaS environment. Alviss AI is headquartered in Europe and serves mid-market to enterprise brands across industries, including G-Star, Allianz and Saxo Bank.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-1" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-1">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian hierarchical modeling. Models produce full posterior distributions across all parameters, enabling principled uncertainty quantification throughout the analysis and into the optimization layer.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-1" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-1">Key Strengths</h4>
<p><strong>Editable computational graph.</strong> Alviss AI exposes the full model structure to the analyst. The computational graph, including adstock specifications, saturation curve shapes, prior distributions, and variable transformations, is visible and directly editable. This is technically rare among commercial SaaS MMM platforms and has significant implications for model trust, auditability, and the encoding of domain knowledge.</p>
<p><strong>Multi-KPI modeling.</strong> Alviss AI supports multiple dependent variables within a single unified model. Brand health metrics, customer experience scores, and revenue KPIs can be modeled simultaneously, capturing cross-metric dynamics that single-KPI models miss entirely. This makes Alviss AI particularly well-suited for organizations running integrated brand and performance measurement.</p>
<p><strong>Flexible modeling module.</strong> The platform accommodates both long-term brand-building effects and short-term performance media signals within the same model structure, without requiring separate model runs or manual reconciliation of outputs.</p>
<p><strong>Fast training times.</strong> Model runs are designed for iteration speed, enabling weekly or even more frequent cadences without prohibitive compute overhead.</p>
<p><strong>Full in-housing capability.</strong> Alviss AI is explicitly built for teams that want to own and operate their MMM without ongoing vendor dependency. There is no full-service lock-in; the platform is designed to transfer capability to the internal team.</p>
<p><strong>Budget optimizer and scenario planning.</strong> An integrated optimization engine allows teams to run forward simulations, apply budget constraints, and generate channel allocation recommendations directly from model outputs.</p>
<p><strong>API access.</strong> Alviss AI offers API access, enabling integration with existing data infrastructure and embedding MMM outputs into broader analytics workflows.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-1" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-1">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Alviss AI is a newer entrant to the MMM market. The community of public resources, third-party tutorials, and external case studies is smaller than those surrounding established open-source frameworks. Organizations evaluating vendors on reference customer volume may find the roster less extensive than legacy providers. Further, the European focus and smaller global customer base means limited out-of-the-box benchmarks, fewer community integrations, and less published independent validation than US-based alternatives with larger user bases.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-1" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-1">Best For</h4>
<p>Mid-market to enterprise marketing teams that want to own their MMM infrastructure, require multi-KPI or brand and performance modeling in a single model, and prioritize methodological transparency and model editability.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-1" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-1">Pricing</h4>
<p>SaaS subscription. Bronze: 1,200 EUR/month. Silver: 1,700 EUR/month. Gold: 2,800 EUR/month.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="mutinex" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="mutinex">3. Mutinex</h3>
<section id="overview-2" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-2">Overview</h4>
<p>Mutinex <span class="citation" data-cites="mutinex_website_2026">(Mutinex 2026)</span> is an Australian-born MMM platform that has grown rapidly in the APAC region and is expanding internationally. It markets itself as a “GrowthOS,” positioning MMM as a central operating layer for marketing investment decisions rather than a standalone measurement tool.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-2" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-2">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian. Mutinex emphasizes speed of deployment and accessibility for marketing teams, with dashboards designed for non-technical users alongside more analytical interfaces.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-2" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-2">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Mutinex delivers fast model runs and an intuitive scenario planning interface. Its go-to-market motion in APAC has been strong, and it has accumulated a meaningful customer base among Australian and New Zealand mid-market brands. The platform is competitive on ease of use and speed of onboarding.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-2" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-2">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Outside APAC, Mutinex has less market presence and fewer reference customers. Model transparency and editability are more limited than Alviss AI; the computational graph is not fully exposed or editable. Multi-KPI support is limited. Teams requiring advanced modeling flexibility may find the platform constraining.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-2" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-2">Best For</h4>
<p>Mid-market brands in APAC prioritizing fast deployment, accessible dashboards, and Bayesian methodology without deep technical configuration.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-2" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-2">Pricing</h4>
<p>SaaS. Approximately $75,000–$150,000/year (source: Improvado, 2026).</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="keen-decision-systems" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="keen-decision-systems">4. Keen Decision Systems</h3>
<section id="overview-3" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-3">Overview</h4>
<p>Keen Decision Systems <span class="citation" data-cites="keen_website_2026">(Keen Decision Systems 2026)</span> is a US-based SaaS platform focused on continuous, always-on MMM and forward-looking marketing investment planning. Keen’s core positioning is around connecting marketing spend decisions to financial outcomes in real time, rather than producing periodic retrospective analyses.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-3" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-3">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian, with a strong emphasis on continuous modeling. Models are updated on an ongoing basis as new data arrives, rather than run in periodic batches.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-3" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-3">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Keen’s continuous modeling approach is a genuine differentiator for organizations that need MMM to function as a live planning tool rather than a quarterly report. The budget optimization and scenario planning engine is well-developed, and outputs are framed in finance-friendly terms, revenue, ROI, and forecast ranges, which aids stakeholder adoption.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-3" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-3">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Model structure is less configurable than platforms like Alviss AI. Multi-KPI support is limited. The platform can feel complex for teams new to continuous measurement workflows.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-3" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-3">Best For</h4>
<p>Enterprise marketing teams that need always-on budget planning and want MMM outputs integrated into financial planning cycles.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-3" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-3">Pricing</h4>
<p>SaaS, enterprise tier. Custom pricing; contact for quote.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="odins.ai" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="odins.ai">5. Odins.ai</h3>
<section id="overview-4" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-4">Overview</h4>
<p>Odins.ai <span class="citation" data-cites="odins_website_2026">(Odins.ai 2026)</span> is a Bayesian MMM platform built in the Nordics, targeting European mid-market brands that want to move from consultant-led MMM toward a software-driven approach. The platform emphasizes fast onboarding and strong native connections to marketing data sources.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-4" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-4">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian. The platform leverages Bayesian inference for media effectiveness estimation, which provides more principled uncertainty handling than frequentist alternatives.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-4" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-4">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Odins.ai’s primary strength is ease of entry. The onboarding experience is designed to minimize time to first model run, and native integrations with major marketing data sources reduce the data engineering burden. For European brands with GDPR considerations, the Nordic origin of the platform is a relevant factor.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-4" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-4">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Odins.ai operates on a full-service model. It is not designed for true in-housing or self-serve model ownership. Analysts cannot inspect or edit the model structure; transparency into the computational graph is limited. The platform supports only a single target variable, which rules it out for teams requiring multi-KPI modeling. Teams that want to build internal MMM capability over time may find the full-service model a constraint rather than a feature.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-4" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-4">Best For</h4>
<p>European mid-market brands that want managed Bayesian MMM with minimal technical setup and are comfortable with a full-service engagement model.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-4" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-4">Pricing</h4>
<p>SaaS / managed service, mid-market tier. Custom pricing; contact for quote.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="northbeam" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="northbeam">6. Northbeam</h3>
<section id="overview-5" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-5">Overview</h4>
<p>Northbeam <span class="citation" data-cites="northbeam_website_2026">(Northbeam 2026)</span> is a US-based marketing measurement platform primarily serving DTC and e-commerce brands. It occupies a hybrid position between multi-touch attribution and MMM, offering near-real-time reporting across paid digital channels alongside longer-horizon mix modeling insights.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-5" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-5">Methodology</h4>
<p>Proprietary hybrid combining MTA and MMM elements. The methodology is less rigorous from a pure MMM standpoint than Bayesian platforms, but the near-real-time reporting cadence is a practical advantage for high-velocity e-commerce advertisers.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-5" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-5">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Northbeam’s real-time reporting is its most significant differentiator. For DTC brands running rapid paid social and search campaigns, the ability to see performance data without the latency of traditional MMM is operationally valuable. Shopify integration and e-commerce ecosystem fit are strong.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-5" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-5">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Northbeam is not a pure MMM tool. The methodological foundations are weaker than Bayesian platforms, and the hybrid MTA/MMM approach carries the limitations of both. Offline and brand media modeling is limited. Multi-KPI and brand and performance unified modeling are not supported. Organizations with complex media mixes or brand measurement requirements will find the platform insufficient.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-5" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-5">Best For</h4>
<p>DTC and e-commerce brands wanting fast, accessible marketing measurement that combines attribution-style speed with some MMM-style insights.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-5" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-5">Pricing</h4>
<p>SaaS. Custom pricing; contact for quote.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="sellforte" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="sellforte">7. Sellforte</h3>
<section id="overview-6" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-6">Overview</h4>
<p>Sellforte <span class="citation" data-cites="sellforte_website_2026">(Sellforte Solutions Oy 2026a)</span> is a Finnish commercial analytics and MMM platform with strong vertical expertise in retail and FMCG. It covers both online and offline media measurement and has a meaningful customer base among European retail brands.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-6" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-6">Methodology</h4>
<p>Proprietary Bayesian. While Sellforte applies Bayesian principles, the model architecture is relatively simplistic and offers limited configurability for end users. The underlying structure is not exposed to analysts.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-6" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-6">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Sellforte’s retail and FMCG vertical knowledge is genuine. The platform has been shaped by the specific measurement challenges of omnichannel retail, including the integration of offline sales data and in-store media. Online and offline media coverage in a single model is a practical advantage for brick-and-mortar-heavy advertisers. European data residency and GDPR alignment are relevant for its core market.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-6" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-6">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>The model architecture is simplistic, and end users have limited ability to affect or customize the model structure. There is no mention of API access, which limits integration with broader data infrastructure and constrains in-housing flexibility. The pricing model deserves scrutiny: Sellforte’s plans are tiered by media scope and priced at $2,990/month (Essentials, digital only), $3,990/month (Growth, digital and offline), and $4,990/month (Advanced, digital and offline with calibration), with these figures anchored to an $800,000/month media spend. This means that as an advertiser’s media investment grows, and as the value of accurate MMM increases, the platform fee increases proportionally without any corresponding increase in modeling capability. This is an unusual structure that diverges from standard SaaS pricing logic and is worth factoring carefully into total cost of ownership calculations.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-6" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-6">Best For</h4>
<p>Retail and FMCG brands in Europe wanting managed MMM with offline media coverage, where model customization and in-housing are not priorities.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-6" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-6">Pricing</h4>
<p>Managed SaaS; media-spend-tiered pricing. At $800k/month media spend: Essentials $2,990/month, Growth $3,990/month, Advanced $4,990/month. All prices in USD.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="cassandra" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="cassandra">8. Cassandra</h3>
<section id="overview-7" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-7">Overview</h4>
<p>Cassandra <span class="citation" data-cites="cassandra_website_2026">(Cassandra 2026a)</span> is an MMM and geo-experimentation platform built primarily for e-commerce brands. It offers three self-serve plans billed monthly, covering geo-experiments, MMM, and a combined Bundle tier that calibrates MMM outputs with geo-incrementality testing results. An Agency plan with a dedicated data scientist is available on request.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-7" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-7">Methodology</h4>
<p>Proprietary and not fully disclosed. The underlying modeling approach is unclear from publicly available information, making independent validation of the methodology difficult. This lack of transparency is a relevant consideration for advanced marketing science teams evaluating the platform.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-7" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-7">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Cassandra’s self-serve pricing is transparent and accessible: the MMM plan runs at 1,950 EUR/month and includes up to 3 MMM models, unlimited refreshes, and unlimited budget allocation simulations. The Bundle plan at 2,400 EUR/month adds geo-incrementality testing with calibration between the two methodologies, which is a genuinely useful feature for teams that want to triangulate MMM outputs against experimental results. The platform is fast to set up and requires no data science team to operate.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-7" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-7">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>The undisclosed modeling approach limits the ability of advanced teams to inspect or validate results. There is limited insight into model structure, making it difficult for analysts to challenge outputs. Collaboration features are limited. The platform is not suited for advanced marketing science teams, multi-KPI modeling, or complex brand and performance measurement. Teams that grow in analytical maturity are likely to find the modeling constraints a ceiling.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-7" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-7">Best For</h4>
<p>Small to mid-size e-commerce brands wanting self-serve MMM with optional geo-experiment calibration at a transparent monthly price, where deep methodological flexibility is not a requirement.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-7" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-7">Pricing</h4>
<p>Self-serve SaaS. Experiments: 1,500 EUR/month. MMM: 1,950 EUR/month. Bundle (MMM + Geo): 2,400 EUR/month. Agency plan: contact for pricing.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="liftlab" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="liftlab">9. LiftLab</h3>
<section id="overview-8" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-8">Overview</h4>
<p>LiftLab <span class="citation" data-cites="liftlab_website_2026">(LiftLab 2026)</span> is a US-based SaaS platform that combines an agile Marketing Mix Model with a native geo-experimentation layer, positioning the two as a unified econometric system. Founded in 2020, it serves DTC and consumer brands including Skims, Pandora, Birkenstock, and Thrive Market. The platform’s core differentiator is weekly-cadence measurement with experimental calibration built directly into the MMM workflow rather than treated as a separate workstream.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-8" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-8">Methodology</h4>
<p>Proprietary econometric framework combining mixed-model regression with geo-lift and diminishing returns experiments. Not natively Bayesian in the full posterior sense. The platform models both short-term performance and longer-term brand effects within the same structure.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-8" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-8">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Geo-experimentation is deeply integrated rather than bolted on: multiple test designs (spend-level, go-dark, cross-channel, head-to-head, switchback) feed results directly into the model econometrically. Weekly model refreshes keep outputs operationally relevant for teams running active paid media. A natural-language AI agent layer reduces friction for non-technical stakeholders. A data quality scorecard flags when observational data is insufficient and experiments are needed.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-8" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-8">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>The model is proprietary and not auditable. No full posterior distributions. The computational graph is not editable. Multi-KPI modeling across simultaneous dependent variables is not supported. API access and pricing are not publicly disclosed. Market presence is concentrated in the US.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-8" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-8">Best For</h4>
<p>US-based DTC and consumer brands wanting tightly integrated MMM and geo-experimentation at weekly cadence, where experimental calibration matters more than Bayesian methodology or model editability.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-8" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-8">Pricing</h4>
<p>Custom pricing; contact for quote.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="liftroi-blackwood-seven-kantar" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="liftroi-blackwood-seven-kantar">10. LiftROI (Blackwood Seven / Kantar)</h3>
<section id="overview-9" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-9">Overview</h4>
<p>LiftROI <span class="citation" data-cites="blackwoodseven_website_2026">(<span>“<span>B</span>lackwood <span>S</span>even Part of <span>K</span>antar; <span>T</span>otal Marketing Modeling. <span>A</span>nswering Marketings <span>B</span>ig <span>Q</span>uestions — Blackwoodseven.com”</span> 2026)</span> is the product name for the HamiltonAI platform built by Blackwood Seven, a Copenhagen-founded MarTech company acquired by Kantar Group in 2022. It is sold primarily direct to advertisers across Europe, with reference clients including Honda and TSB. The platform positions itself around “Total Marketing Modeling” - quantifying media, brand, competitive, pricing, and macroeconomic effects within a single unified model.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-9" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-9">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian hierarchical probabilistic directed network model, operating with up to 10,240 configurations. Each client model builds on learnings from hundreds of previously developed models. Outputs are probabilistic rather than point estimates, updated on a weekly cadence.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-9" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-9">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Publisher-level granularity is a genuine differentiator: the model attributes effects to individual media publishers, not just channels. Non-media variables, e.g., pricing, distribution, competitor activity, weather, interest rates, are modeled alongside media in the same structure. Separate model objectives for brand strength and churn prevention are available alongside the standard sales model. Kantar Group backing adds enterprise procurement credibility. Implementation is reportedly under six weeks with no cookie dependency.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-9" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-9">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>The computational graph is proprietary and not client-accessible. In-housing is not supported; models are built and maintained by Blackwood Seven’s team. Multi-KPI means separate model instances, not a simultaneous unified model. API access not publicly disclosed. Pricing is fully opaque. The website and marketing materials are notably dated relative to SaaS competitors.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-9" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-9">Best For</h4>
<p>European mid-market to enterprise brands, particularly in financial services, automotive, retail, and telco, wanting Bayesian MMM with publisher-level granularity and the option to extend to brand and churn objectives, within a vendor-managed model.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-9" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-9">Pricing</h4>
<p>Custom pricing; contact for quote. No public pricing available from any source.</p>
</section>
</section>
</section>
<section id="tier-2-open-source-mmm-frameworks" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="tier-2-open-source-mmm-frameworks">Tier 2: Open-Source MMM Frameworks</h2>
<p>Open-source MMM frameworks offer rigorous methodology at zero software cost. The trade-off is substantial: implementation, maintenance, infrastructure, and interpretation all require in-house data science expertise. These frameworks are not products, they are libraries. The total cost of ownership, when talent and infrastructure are included, is often comparable to or higher than mid-market SaaS solutions.</p>
<section id="google-meridian" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="google-meridian">11. Google Meridian</h3>
<section id="overview-10" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-10">Overview</h4>
<p>Google Meridian <span class="citation" data-cites="meridian_github_2024">(Google 2024)</span> is an open-source Bayesian MMM framework released by Google in 2024, designed as a modern and more flexible successor to its earlier Lightweight MMM library. It is built on probabilistic programming foundations (NumPyro) and reflects current best practices in Bayesian media measurement.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-10" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-10">Methodology</h4>
<p>Fully Bayesian, built on NumPyro. Meridian supports hierarchical modeling, reach and frequency inputs, and principled prior specification, making it one of the most methodologically sophisticated open-source MMM frameworks available.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-10" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-10">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Meridian’s Bayesian foundations are strong. The inclusion of reach and frequency modeling, the ability to model diminishing returns on audience reach separately from frequency exposure, is a meaningful technical capability not universally available in commercial platforms. As an open-source project backed by Google, it benefits from active development and is free at the software layer. The full model structure is transparent and modifiable by definition.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-10" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-10">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Meridian requires Python proficiency and familiarity with probabilistic programming to implement and maintain. There is no native user interface; all interaction is through code. Single KPI per model run. Infrastructure must be provisioned and managed separately. For organizations without a dedicated marketing data science function, Meridian is not a realistic option. The absence of a budget optimization UI means that translating model outputs into actionable spend recommendations requires additional development work.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-10" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-10">Best For</h4>
<p>Data science teams at larger organizations that want methodological rigor, full model control, and are comfortable managing open-source infrastructure.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-10" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-10">Pricing</h4>
<p>Free. Infrastructure, compute, and engineering talent costs apply.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="meta-robyn" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="meta-robyn">12. Meta Robyn</h3>
<section id="overview-11" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-11">Overview</h4>
<p>Meta released Robyn <span class="citation" data-cites="robyn_website_2026">(Meta Platforms, Inc. 2021)</span> as an open-source MMM framework in 2021. It has become one of the most widely adopted MMM frameworks globally, with a large community, extensive documentation, and a broad ecosystem of practitioners familiar with its implementation.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-11" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-11">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian-inspired, using ridge regression with automated hyperparameter optimization via Meta’s Nevergrad library. While Robyn draws on Bayesian concepts and supports calibration with lift studies, it does not produce full posterior distributions in the way a natively Bayesian framework does. This places it methodologically between classical frequentist MMM and fully Bayesian approaches.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-11" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-11">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Robyn’s community is its most significant asset. The volume of public documentation, tutorials, practitioner forums, and trained talent makes it easier to hire for and faster to troubleshoot than newer frameworks. Automated hyperparameter optimization via Nevergrad reduces some of the manual tuning burden. Lift study calibration improves estimate accuracy when experimental data is available. The R and Python (RobynPy) implementations offer flexibility across tech stacks.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-11" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-11">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>The ridge regression core is a genuine methodological limitation relative to fully Bayesian alternatives. Without posterior distributions, uncertainty quantification is limited to bootstrap-style confidence intervals, which are less principled than Bayesian credible intervals. There is no native UI or budget optimization dashboard. Single KPI only. Implementation and maintenance require data science resources.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-11" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-11">Best For</h4>
<p>Organizations with in-house R or Python data science capacity that want a proven, community-supported, cost-free MMM framework.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-11" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-11">Pricing</h4>
<p>Free. Infrastructure and talent costs apply.</p>
</section>
</section>
</section>
<section id="tier-3-enterprise-and-consultancy-led-mmm" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="tier-3-enterprise-and-consultancy-led-mmm">Tier 3: Enterprise and Consultancy-Led MMM</h2>
<p>These providers serve large enterprises that prefer to outsource measurement to specialist vendors or consultancies. They offer deep industry expertise, broad media coverage, and managed delivery, at the cost of speed, transparency, and in-housing capability. For organizations with the budget and the preference for managed measurement, they remain viable options. For teams building internal analytical capability, they are generally unsuitable.</p>
<section id="analytic-partners" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="analytic-partners">13. Analytic Partners</h3>
<section id="overview-12" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-12">Overview</h4>
<p>Analytic Partners <span class="citation" data-cites="analyticpartners_website_2026">(Analytic Partners 2026)</span> is one of the longest-standing dedicated MMM providers globally. Its ROI Genome database, a proprietary benchmarking dataset built from decades of client engagements, is a genuine differentiator that allows clients to contextualize their media effectiveness estimates against industry norms.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-12" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-12">Methodology</h4>
<p>Proprietary Bayesian. Analytic Partners applies Bayesian methods within a proprietary framework, but the model architecture is not transparent to clients.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-12" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-12">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>The ROI Genome benchmarking capability is substantively valuable for organizations that want to understand not just their own media ROI but how it compares to category and industry benchmarks. Analytic Partners has deep relationships with large enterprise clients across CPG, retail, financial services, and other categories, and brings genuine measurement expertise from decades of engagements.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-12" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-12">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>The model is a black box; clients receive outputs, not model structures, and transparency is rated very low relative to every other provider in this comparison. In-housing is not the design intent; ongoing vendor engagement is built into the delivery model. Iteration cycles are slow relative to modern SaaS platforms. For organizations that want to build internal MMM capability or move to higher-cadence measurement, the Analytic Partners model is structurally misaligned.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-12" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-12">Best For</h4>
<p>Large enterprises seeking fully managed MMM with access to cross-industry benchmarking, where model transparency and in-housing are not priorities.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-12" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-12">Pricing</h4>
<p>Enterprise retainer. $200,000+ per engagement (source: Improvado, 2026).</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="nielsen-nmi" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="nielsen-nmi">14. Nielsen (NMI)</h3>
<section id="overview-13" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-13">Overview</h4>
<p>Nielsen has been a fixture in media measurement for decades. Its MMM offering <span class="citation" data-cites="nielsen_website_2026">(Nielsen 2026)</span>, part of a broader marketing effectiveness portfolio, draws on extensive media coverage data and longstanding enterprise relationships. Nielsen is a known quantity in procurement processes at large organizations, which has historically been a meaningful competitive advantage.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-13" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-13">Methodology</h4>
<p>Proprietary, largely frequentist. Model structure is not disclosed to clients.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-13" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-13">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Nielsen’s media coverage is extensive. Its ability to incorporate its own audience measurement data, panel data, media exposure data, and cross-platform measurement datasets, into MMM models is a structural advantage that software-only platforms cannot replicate. Cross-media normalization and reach/frequency data from Nielsen’s measurement infrastructure can add real value for advertisers with complex cross-channel media strategies.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-13" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-13">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Nielsen’s MMM offering reflects the organizational priorities of a legacy measurement company rather than a software-first product team. Delivery is slow, pricing is high, and the engagement model is project-based rather than SaaS. In-housing is not supported. Model transparency is minimal. For organizations that want to iterate quickly or build internal analytical capability, Nielsen’s model is a poor fit.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-13" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-13">Best For</h4>
<p>Large enterprises in regulated industries, financial services, pharma, CPG, that need comprehensive media coverage and are comfortable with managed, non-transparent measurement.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-13" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-13">Pricing</h4>
<p>Enterprise. Custom pricing; contact for quote.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="ekimetrics" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="ekimetrics">15. Ekimetrics</h3>
<section id="overview-14" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="overview-14">Overview</h4>
<p>Ekimetrics <span class="citation" data-cites="ekimetrics_website_2026">(Ekimetrics 2026)</span> is a European data science consultancy with a strong MMM practice and a growing software layer. It has a significant presence in EMEA, with multilingual teams serving clients across the UK, France, Germany, and other European markets.</p>
</section>
<section id="methodology-14" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="methodology-14">Methodology</h4>
<p>Bayesian and frequentist, depending on the engagement and client context.</p>
</section>
<section id="key-strengths-14" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="key-strengths-14">Key Strengths</h4>
<p>Ekimetrics combines MMM expertise with broader data science consulting capability. For organizations that want MMM embedded within a larger data strategy engagement, this is a genuine advantage. The EMEA presence and multilingual capability are meaningful for European multinationals with measurement needs across markets.</p>
</section>
<section id="weaknesses-14" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="weaknesses-14">Weaknesses</h4>
<p>Ekimetrics is fundamentally a consultancy, and its MMM delivery reflects that. In-housing is difficult; the engagement model is designed around ongoing vendor involvement. Self-serve technical flexibility is limited. Outside EMEA, Ekimetrics has limited presence and fewer reference clients.</p>
</section>
<section id="best-for-14" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="best-for-14">Best For</h4>
<p>European enterprises wanting MMM as part of a broader data science and analytics transformation engagement.</p>
</section>
<section id="pricing-14" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="pricing-14">Pricing</h4>
<p>Consultancy / retainer. Custom pricing; contact for quote.</p>
</section>
</section>
</section>
<section id="mmm-software-comparison-full-table" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="mmm-software-comparison-full-table">MMM Software Comparison: Full Table</h2>
<p>As stated this guide is published by Alviss AI. Please see disclosure in the introduction.</p>
<table class="caption-top table">
<colgroup>
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
<col style="width: 9%">
</colgroup>
<thead>
<tr class="header">
<th>Provider</th>
<th>Tier</th>
<th>Methodology</th>
<th>Multi-KPI</th>
<th>Editable Model</th>
<th>In-House Capable</th>
<th>Budget Optimizer</th>
<th>API Access</th>
<th>Calibration Support</th>
<th>Model Transparency</th>
<th>Pricing Model</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Recast</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Medium</td>
<td>~$2,000–5,000/month</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Alviss AI</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>High</td>
<td>1,200–2,800 EUR/month</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Mutinex</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>Medium</td>
<td>~$75,000–150,000/year</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Keen Decision Systems</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Medium</td>
<td>Enterprise SaaS</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Odins.ai</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Low</td>
<td>Managed service</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Northbeam</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Hybrid MMM + MTA</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>Medium</td>
<td>Custom pricing</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Sellforte</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian (proprietary)</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>Low</td>
<td>$2,990–4,990/month (media-spend tiered)</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Cassandra</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Proprietary / unclear</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>Low</td>
<td>1,500–2,400 EUR/month</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Liftlab</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Proprietary (mixed models + experiments)</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>Medium</td>
<td>Custom pricing</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>LiftROI (Blackwood Seven)</td>
<td>Modern SaaS</td>
<td>Bayesian hierarchical (proprietary)</td>
<td>⚠️ Partial</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Medium</td>
<td>Custom pricing</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Google Meridian</td>
<td>Open-Source</td>
<td>Bayesian</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️ Tech only</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Very High</td>
<td>Free</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Meta Robyn</td>
<td>Open-Source</td>
<td>Bayesian-inspired (ridge + Nevergrad)</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️ Tech only</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Very High</td>
<td>Free</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Analytic Partners</td>
<td>Enterprise</td>
<td>Proprietary Bayesian</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>✅</td>
<td>Very Low</td>
<td>$200,000+/engagement</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Nielsen</td>
<td>Enterprise</td>
<td>Proprietary</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Very Low</td>
<td>Custom pricing</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Ekimetrics</td>
<td>Enterprise</td>
<td>Mixed</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>❌</td>
<td>⚠️</td>
<td>Low</td>
<td>Consultancy</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</section>
<section id="how-to-choose-the-right-mmm-software" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-to-choose-the-right-mmm-software">How to Choose the Right MMM Software</h2>
<p>The right MMM platform depends on three variables: the technical capability of your team, the complexity of your measurement requirements, and your organizational appetite for in-housing vs.&nbsp;managed delivery.</p>
<p><strong>For small and DTC e-commerce brands</strong> with limited analytics resources, Cassandra offers a low-cost starting point for basic media effectiveness measurement with optional geo-experiment calibration. Northbeam is a stronger option for brands running high-volume paid social and search campaigns that need near-real-time feedback. LiftLab is a strong option for US-based DTC and consumer brands that want geo-experimentation tightly integrated with their MMM rather than operated as a separate workstream. Its weekly cadence and full-funnel measurement make it particularly relevant for teams running active paid media across multiple channels simultaneously. The trade-off relative to Recast or Alviss AI is methodology: LiftLab’s proprietary model does not expose the computational graph or produce Bayesian posteriors, which limits auditability for advanced marketing science teams. If the team has data science capability, Meta Robyn provides rigorous methodology at no software cost.</p>
<p><strong>For mid-market brands building in-house capability</strong>, Alviss AI and Recast are the strongest options. Both are Bayesian, both support in-housing, and both offer budget optimization. The key differentiators are model flexibility and multi-KPI support. Teams that need to model brand and performance KPIs in a unified structure, or that want to inspect and edit the computational graph, should evaluate Alviss AI specifically for those capabilities. On pricing, it is worth noting that methodology-rich platforms in the 2,000–3,000 EUR/month range may deliver more modeling capability than managed-service alternatives at comparable or higher price points, a comparison worth running for any shortlist. Odins.ai and Sellforte are relevant for European brands that prefer a managed model, but both involve trade-offs on transparency, capability, and value for money. LiftROI (Blackwood Seven / Kantar) is worth evaluating for European enterprise brands that need sub-channel publisher-level granularity within the model and want to extend the same Bayesian framework to churn and brand objectives beyond a pure sales MMM. The Kantar Group backing makes it a credible enterprise procurement choice. The trade-offs are significant for teams wanting model ownership: in-housing is not supported, the computational graph is proprietary, and pricing requires a direct sales engagement.</p>
<p><strong>For enterprise teams with complex media mixes and multi-KPI requirements</strong>, Alviss AI is, to our knowledge, currently the only commercial SaaS platform that combines Bayesian methodology, multi-KPI modeling, an editable computational graph, full in-housing capability, and an integrated budget optimizer in a single product. Keen Decision Systems is a strong option for enterprises prioritizing continuous measurement and financial planning integration. For enterprises that want fully managed, outsourced measurement, Analytic Partners and Nielsen remain viable, with the understanding that transparency, iteration speed, and in-housing are explicitly not part of the offering.</p>
<p><strong>For data science teams</strong> with engineering resources and a preference for open-source tooling, Google Meridian represents the current state of the art in open-source Bayesian MMM. Meta Robyn remains the most community-supported framework and is the practical default for teams already working in R or Python.</p>
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<span class="screen-reader-only">None</span>Five questions worth asking any MMM vendor during evaluation:
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<div class="callout-body-container callout-body">
<ol type="1">
<li>Can your team own, re-run, and modify the model without vendor support?</li>
<li>Does the platform support more than one target variable simultaneously?</li>
<li>Can analysts inspect and edit the full computational graph?</li>
<li>What is the actual model training time for a typical media mix?</li>
<li>Does the platform output full posterior distributions, or point estimates only?</li>
</ol>
</div>
</div>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling in 2026 is defined by three shifts: from annual to continuous, from black-box to transparent, and from vendor-managed to in-housed. The tools that are winning are those built around Bayesian methodology, fast iteration, and genuine model ownership for internal teams.</p>
<p>The open-source frameworks, Meridian and Robyn, have raised the methodological floor across the industry. The legacy enterprise providers, Nielsen and Analytic Partners, remain relevant for specific large-enterprise contexts but are structurally misaligned with the direction of travel. The most interesting competitive space is in modern SaaS, where a generation of Bayesian platforms are competing on methodology, flexibility, and in-housing capability.</p>
<p>Within that space, Alviss AI (alviss.io) occupies a distinct position. Based on publicly available product documentation, Alviss AI is currently the only commercial SaaS platform that supports multi-KPI modeling, exposes and enables editing of the full computational graph, runs on Bayesian hierarchical methodology, and is explicitly designed for full in-housing, in a single integrated product. Customers including G-Star, Allianz, Saxo Bank, and Airalo use Alviss AI to run owned, transparent, and continuously iterated MMM across brand and performance KPIs.</p>
<div class="callout callout-style-simple callout-none no-icon">
<div class="callout-body d-flex">
<div class="callout-icon-container">
<i class="callout-icon no-icon"></i>
</div>
<div class="callout-body-container">
<p><em><a href="https://alviss.io">Alviss AI</a> is a Marketing Mix Modeling software platform built for in-house marketing and analytics teams. To see how Alviss AI fits your measurement requirements, <a href="https://alviss.io/contact">book a demo at alviss.io</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<section id="frequently-asked-questions" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="frequently-asked-questions">Frequently Asked Questions</h3>
<section id="what-is-marketing-mix-modeling-mmm" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-is-marketing-mix-modeling-mmm">What is Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM)?</h4>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) is a statistical technique used to measure the contribution of different marketing and media channels to business outcomes such as revenue, sales, or brand metrics. MMM uses historical data to estimate the effectiveness and ROI of each channel, accounting for external factors like seasonality, pricing, and macroeconomic conditions.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-is-bayesian-mmm" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-is-bayesian-mmm">What is Bayesian MMM?</h4>
<p>Bayesian MMM applies Bayesian statistical inference to Marketing Mix Modeling. Unlike frequentist approaches that produce single point estimates, Bayesian MMM generates full posterior probability distributions for each model parameter. This means every estimate, such as a channel’s contribution to revenue, comes with a quantified measure of uncertainty expressed as a credible interval. This is particularly valuable for budget optimization, where understanding the range of likely outcomes is as important as the central estimate.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-is-adstock-in-mmm" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-is-adstock-in-mmm">What is adstock in MMM?</h4>
<p>Adstock is a transformation applied to media spend data in MMM to capture the lagged and decaying effects of advertising. When a consumer is exposed to an advertisement, the effect on their behavior does not end immediately; it carries over into subsequent periods. Adstock modeling quantifies the rate at which this carryover effect decays over time.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-is-a-saturation-curve-in-mmm" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-is-a-saturation-curve-in-mmm">What is a saturation curve in MMM?</h4>
<p>A saturation curve in MMM models the diminishing returns of increasing media spend within a channel. As spend increases, each additional unit of investment generates progressively smaller incremental returns. Saturation curves allow MMM models to estimate the point at which additional investment in a given channel produces minimal additional business impact.</p>
</section>
<section id="can-mmm-replace-multi-touch-attribution-mta" class="level4">
<h4 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="can-mmm-replace-multi-touch-attribution-mta">Can MMM replace multi-touch attribution (MTA)?</h4>
<p>MMM and MTA measure marketing effectiveness through fundamentally different mechanisms. MTA uses individual-level user journey data to assign credit across touchpoints; MMM uses aggregate time-series data to estimate channel-level contributions. In a privacy-first environment where individual tracking signals are degraded, MMM has structural advantages. Most practitioners now treat MMM as the primary measurement framework, with experimental measurement (incrementality testing) used for calibration.</p>



</section>
</section>
</section>

<div id="quarto-appendix" class="default"><section class="quarto-appendix-contents" id="quarto-bibliography"><h2 class="anchored quarto-appendix-heading">References</h2><div id="refs" class="references csl-bib-body hanging-indent" data-entry-spacing="0">
<div id="ref-alviss_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Alviss AI. 2026. <span>“Alviss <span>AI</span> – <span>M</span>arketing <span>M</span>ix <span>M</span>odeling Platform.”</span> <a href="https://alviss.io">https://alviss.io</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-analyticpartners_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Analytic Partners. 2026. <span>“Analytic Partners – <span>ROI</span> Genome and Marketing Effectiveness.”</span> <a href="https://analyticpartners.com">https://analyticpartners.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-blackwoodseven_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
<span>“<span>B</span>lackwood <span>S</span>even Part of <span>K</span>antar; <span>T</span>otal Marketing Modeling. <span>A</span>nswering Marketings <span>B</span>ig <span>Q</span>uestions — Blackwoodseven.com.”</span> 2026. <a href="https://blackwoodseven.com/" class="uri">https://blackwoodseven.com/</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-cassandra_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Cassandra. 2026a. <span>“Cassandra – Marketing Measurement Platform.”</span> <a href="https://cassandra.app">https://cassandra.app</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-cassandra_pricing_2026" class="csl-entry">
———. 2026b. <span>“Plans &amp; Pricing.”</span> <a href="https://cassandra.app/pricing">https://cassandra.app/pricing</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-ekimetrics_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Ekimetrics. 2026. <span>“Ekimetrics – Data Science and <span>MMM</span> Consultancy.”</span> <a href="https://ekimetrics.com">https://ekimetrics.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-meridian_github_2024" class="csl-entry">
Google. 2024. <span>“Meridian – Open-Source <span>B</span>ayesian <span>MMM</span> Framework.”</span> <a href="https://github.com/google/meridian">https://github.com/google/meridian</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-keen_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Keen Decision Systems. 2026. <span>“Keen Decision Systems – Continuous Marketing Mix Modeling.”</span> <a href="https://www.keends.com">https://www.keends.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-liftlab_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
LiftLab. 2026. <span>“LiftLab – Agile Marketing Mix Modeling &amp; Media Experimentation Platform.”</span> <a href="https://liftlab.com/" class="uri">https://liftlab.com/</a>. <a href="https://liftlab.com/">https://liftlab.com/</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-robyn_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Meta Platforms, Inc. 2021. <span>“Robyn – Open-Source Marketing Mix Modeling.”</span> <a href="https://robynmmm.com">https://robynmmm.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-mutinex_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Mutinex. 2026. <span>“Mutinex – <span>G</span>rowth<span>OS</span>.”</span> <a href="https://www.mutinex.com">https://www.mutinex.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-nielsen_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Nielsen. 2026. <span>“Nielsen Marketing Mix Modeling.”</span> <a href="https://www.nielsen.com/solutions/marketing-mix-modeling/">https://www.nielsen.com/solutions/marketing-mix-modeling/</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-northbeam_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Northbeam. 2026. <span>“Northbeam – Marketing Intelligence Platform.”</span> <a href="https://www.northbeam.io">https://www.northbeam.io</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-odins_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Odins.ai. 2026. <span>“Odins.ai – <span>B</span>ayesian <span>M</span>arketing <span>M</span>ix <span>M</span>odeling.”</span> <a href="https://odins.ai">https://odins.ai</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-recast_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Recast. 2026. <span>“Recast – Fast, Accurate Incrementality Measurement.”</span> <a href="https://getrecast.com">https://getrecast.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-sellforte_website_2026" class="csl-entry">
Sellforte Solutions Oy. 2026a. <span>“Sellforte – Commercial Analytics and <span>MMM</span> Platform.”</span> <a href="https://sellforte.com">https://sellforte.com</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-sellforte_pricing_2026" class="csl-entry">
———. 2026b. <span>“Sellforte Pricing.”</span> <a href="https://sellforte.com/pricing">https://sellforte.com/pricing</a>.
</div>
<div id="ref-improvado_mmm_providers_2026" class="csl-entry">
Vinogradov, Roman. 2026. <span>“11 Best Marketing Mix Modeling Providers &amp; Platforms for 2026.”</span> Improvado. <a href="https://improvado.io/blog/marketing-mix-modeling-providers">https://improvado.io/blog/marketing-mix-modeling-providers</a>.
</div>
</div></section></div> ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Software</category>
  <category>Response Curves</category>
  <category>best MMM software 2026</category>
  <category>marketing mix modeling tools</category>
  <category>MMM software comparison</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/mmm-platforms-2026/Definitive guide to MMM software in 2026.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/mmm-platforms-2026/whymmm.svg" medium="image" type="image/svg+xml"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>A Holistic Way of Modeling the Business</title>
  <dc:creator>Martina Cabraja</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Holistic Modeling.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Models (MMM) have long been used to identify the drivers of specific segments of a business, whether it is new customer acquisition, upsales, or cross-sales. Advanced approaches even attempt to model <a href="https://alviss.io/use_case/churn">churn</a>, with the goal of using insights to minimize or prevent customer loss. Yet one challenge remains stubbornly unresolved: connecting these parts into a single, holistic model.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-fragmentation-problem" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-fragmentation-problem">The Fragmentation Problem</h2>
<p>Most MMMs are built as dedicated models, each offering an isolated view of one side of the business. This creates a fundamental limitation, as marketing and media optimizations can be designed either to maximize sales or to minimize churn, but not both at once. As a result, marketing managers are left juggling multiple what-if scenarios, stitching together KPIs, and calculating trade-offs manually. The process is time-consuming, inaccurate, and ultimately incapable of reflecting the true complexity of the business.</p>
</section>
<section id="why-holistic-modeling-matters" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-holistic-modeling-matters">Why Holistic Modeling Matters</h2>
<p>Business does not happen in silos. Acquisition, churn, brand equity, and <a href="https://alviss.io/use_case/customer_experience">customer experience</a> are interconnected forces that shape overall performance. Optimizing one without considering the others risks undermining long-term growth.</p>
<p>Holistic modeling changes the game. By connecting these dependencies into a unified framework, leaders can:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Optimize for net positive outcomes</strong> rather than isolated KPIs</li>
<li><strong>Forecast with confidence</strong>, knowing the model reflects the full business reality</li>
<li><strong>Run meaningful scenarios</strong> that balance acquisition, retention, and brand-building simultaneously</li>
</ul>
<p>This is not just a technical upgrade, it is a strategic evolution.</p>
</section>
<section id="alviss-ai-bridging-the-gap" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="alviss-ai-bridging-the-gap">Alviss AI: Bridging the Gap</h2>
<p>Alviss AI was built to overcome the limitations of traditional MMMs. The platform supports modeling the business as it truly operates, with all dependencies and hierarchical structures intact. The result is true holistic business optimization and forecasting.</p>
<p>And this is not just theory.</p>
</section>
<section id="a-real-world-example-one-model-for-net-growth" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="a-real-world-example-one-model-for-net-growth">A Real-World Example: One Model for Net Growth</h2>
<p>We recently implemented a holistic modeling approach for one of our insurance clients. In this case, the model did not just include acquisition and churn as KPIs, it also incorporated intermediaries such as brand equity and customer experience within the hierarchical structure.</p>
<p>The following graph illustrates the structure of the holistic model. Blue nodes are actually modeled while grey nodes are inputs to the models, such as media, price or other factors, for example including competitor activities.</p>
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/model-hierarchy-holistic_generic.png" class="img-fluid"></p>
<p>This setup allowed the client to use each component individually, for example optimizing marketing to maximize acquisition or strengthen brand equity, while also combining them to drive net positive growth. This is also a great example how business units can use the same model for their individual purposes:</p>
<ul>
<li>The growth department can optimize their activities to maximise new policies,</li>
<li>The churn department can use the model to derive actions to mitigate churn,</li>
<li>And the <a href="https://alviss.io/use_case/brand">brand</a> team can quantify and act upon maximising brand awareness and consideration.</li>
</ul>
<p>The outcome was a model that reflects the business as it truly is, interconnected, dynamic, and capable of guiding smarter decisions, across the organization.</p>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion</h2>
<p>The future of MMM lies in holistic modeling. Fragmented models may explain parts of the past, but only holistic models can shape the future. By embracing frameworks that integrate acquisition, churn, brand, and customer experience, businesses can move beyond reactive trade-offs and toward proactive, sustainable growth.</p>
<p>With Alviss AI, that future is already here. If you want to move beyond a siloed approach in your predictive business modeling, let’s <a href="https://alviss.io/contact">get in touch</a>!</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Holistic modeling</category>
  <category>Churn</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Forecasting</category>
  <category>Decision support</category>
  <category>Business science</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Holistic Modeling.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sat, 13 Dec 2025 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Rethinking Model Validation in Marketing Mix Modeling</title>
  <dc:creator>Martina Cabraja</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Best practices of model validation.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/aerial-view-shanghai-overpass-night.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image by fanjianhua on Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) has long been the go-to framework for quantifying business drivers. Yet, despite its widespread adoption, the industry often falls into the trap of celebrating vanity metrics rather than true predictive power. Whether MMMs are built in-house or delivered by consultancies, the critical question remains: <strong>are we validating models in a way that actually drives better decisions?</strong></p>
</section>
<section id="the-illusion-of-high-r²" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-illusion-of-high-r²">The Illusion of High R²</h2>
<p>For years, R² has been paraded as the gold standard of model quality. Consultants proudly present models with R² values north of 90%, as if that alone signals success. But let’s be honest: anyone who has built an MMM knows how easy it is to game this metric. Add enough dummy variables, and you can make the past look perfect. The problem? Business leaders don’t need a model that explains yesterday. They need a model that guides tomorrow. And this is where most MMMs fall short.</p>
</section>
<section id="step-1-demand-predictive-proof" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="step-1-demand-predictive-proof">Step 1: Demand Predictive Proof</h2>
<p>Validation must go beyond statistical fit. A true test of quality is whether the model can predict unseen data. That’s why <strong>holdout testing</strong> should be non-negotiable. Feed the model data it hasn’t seen before and measure how well it performs. Shockingly, holdout tests are often neglected in MMM projects. Without them, predictive quality is little more than guesswork. If your provider isn’t showing you holdout results, you should be asking why.</p>
</section>
<section id="step-2-sanity-check-against-business-reality" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="step-2-sanity-check-against-business-reality">Step 2: Sanity Check Against Business Reality</h2>
<p>Even the most statistically sound model can fail if it doesn’t align with business logic. That’s why <strong>sanity checks</strong> are essential. However, too often analysts assume it is enough to validate the logic of static results that merely explain the past. That is a dangerous illusion, especially when the model functions as a black box with hidden structures and obscured data transformations. True validation requires more. You need to pressure-test the model with <strong>what-if scenarios</strong> that mirror real-world decisions, exposing whether it can guide the future rather than just retell the past.</p>
<p>Run what-if scenarios that reflect real-world decisions:</p>
<ul>
<li>If you want to grow brand awareness by 1 percentage point, how much should you invest in media, assuming the same media mix as last year?</li>
<li>If the model suggests spending less to achieve more, you’ve uncovered a fundamental flaw.</li>
</ul>
<p>Models must not only predict - they must make sense in the context of how businesses actually operate.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-thought-leadership-takeaway" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-thought-leadership-takeaway">The Thought Leadership Takeaway</h2>
<p>The industry needs to move past the obsession with high R² and embrace a more holistic view of validation. True model validation is a two-step process: <strong>statistical rigor through predictive testing, and business relevance through sanity checks.</strong></p>
<p>Anything less is just analytics theater.</p>
<p>Marketing leaders should demand more from their MMMs. Don’t settle for models that look good in PowerPoint but collapse in practice. The future of MMM lies in models that not only explain the past but actively shape smarter, more confident decisions for the future.</p>
<p>If you want to know more about how we build and validate our models with full transparency, do not hesitate to get in touch. We believe that models should not only be statistically sound but also business-relevant, open, and trustworthy.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Modeling</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Decision support</category>
  <category>Decision making</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Best practices of model validation.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2025 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>How to design a future-proof MMM to support an advanced marketing operation</title>
  <dc:creator>Kristian Dyhr Toft</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/The ideal MMM setup.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/kristian1.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Illustration from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Designing a strong marketing measurement setup is a complex matter today, with a lot of decisions to be taken. Data and technology allow for a lot of possibilities, and choosing the right approach itself can be a huge topic of discussion. The field of marketing measurement has evolved enormously in the past years, with Marketing Mix Modelling (MMM) still being one of the cornerstones for many organizations. MMM has a lot of benefits when it comes to implementation and works well as part of the ecosystem in marketing decision making. Design of an MMM is however not a “one-size-fits-all” exercise, as you will have to make a number of choices to reach a well-functioning setup. In this blogpost we discuss a couple of topics that should be considered when entering into a design phase of an MMM solution.</p>
<section id="with-what-frequency-should-the-models-and-results-be-updated" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="with-what-frequency-should-the-models-and-results-be-updated">With what frequency should the models and results be updated?</h2>
<p>Any person in a marketing department involved in campaigns and media buying will typically be extremely impatient in relation to getting fresh insights into the current performance. Who wouldn’t like to measure the effect of the campaign that started yesterday? An MMM setup should definitely be able to deliver insights with a high frequency, but there are a few things to consider in relation to this topic:</p>
<p>Even though it sounds old-school, it is not recommended to start your MMM journey by setting up automated data flows from day one. It is much more valuable to start out by building robust models, understanding your business drivers fully and identifying the right and relevant data sources for your setup. That’s where you should start.</p>
<p>Once the initial models have been developed and are fully aligned, you should establish a system based on automated dataflows and instant model updates. This will save a lot of time in the modelling processes and ensure fast delivery of fresh results.</p>
<p>Automating the data flows will give you the possibility for very frequent (even daily) updates of results, which to some extent would be a dream scenario. Even though this is tempting, you have to think about whether your organization is able to react to results that are updated on a daily basis. Do you believe that the high frequency in the outputs will give information that is valuable, or would you be better off with automated reporting by week or by month? In many cases the latter actually turns out to work best when it comes to implementation of an MMM.</p>
</section>
<section id="what-kpis-should-we-use-to-measure-campaign-success" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-kpis-should-we-use-to-measure-campaign-success">What KPIs should we use to measure campaign success?</h2>
<p>The amount of potential KPIs to measure is enormous. Choosing the right ones for your organization is a fundamental part of the design.</p>
<p>An important rule of thumb is that you want to choose KPIs that are as closely linked as possible to the overall business performance. It can be tempting to track your campaign performance on metrics like clicks, engagement scores and view-through rates, but they don’t really tell anything about the real business outcome of your marketing efforts. A strong measurement setup should be based on real business KPIs such as revenue, transactions, in-take of new customers or similar.</p>
<p>It is better to start out with high-level KPIs for your business and plan for increased granularity as next step. By focusing on solid model building for high-level KPIs in the initial phase, you will reduce complexity and secure a quick and successful initial implementation of your MMM. Following that, you should go for a setup with an ambitious granularity level in the KPIs, which will enable you to deliver detailed insights into your marketing effects across sales channels, regions, by product, by segment etc. Once you reach this point in the implementation, the MMM setup will successfully obtain even broader relevance within your organization and among your main stakeholders.</p>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion?</h2>
<p>There are a number of things to look out for and consider when going into a design phase of an MMM. In this blogpost we have touched a couple of the most essential ones. The main point is to start “simple and focused” and then go from there to “automated and granular”. By following this approach, you are well underway to ensure a successful and future-proof MMM development for your organization!</p>
<p>If you want to learn more about how we help businesses and organizations obtain new levels of growth through data driven decision-making, don’t hesitate to reach out.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Decision support</category>
  <category>Decision making</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/The ideal MMM setup.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2025 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>How does an organization reach a high level of maturity in terms of data driven decision making?</title>
  <dc:creator>Kristian Dyhr Toft</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Data driven decision making.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/kristian2.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Illustration from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>Many businesses still struggle to identify where they can gain the largest benefits from implementing true data driven decision making. Sometimes the effort is focused on areas where the gains are relatively small, the data behind is not of sufficient quality, or the implemented systems turn out to be difficult to make operational. Either way, the full potential is most likely not obtained for the organization.</p>
<p>In this blogpost, we outline a few key topics that should be considered, when looking for long-term benefits from data driven decision making.</p>
<section id="how-to-find-the-growth-pockets-within-your-organization-and-ensure-successful-implementation-the-scoping-phase-potential-data-quality-challenges-and-the-risk-of-developing-overcomplicated-systems" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-to-find-the-growth-pockets-within-your-organization-and-ensure-successful-implementation-the-scoping-phase-potential-data-quality-challenges-and-the-risk-of-developing-overcomplicated-systems">How to find the growth pockets within your organization and ensure successful implementation: The scoping phase, potential data quality challenges and the risk of developing overcomplicated systems</h2>
<p>A key principle in successful implementation is to make a structured approach to define exactly where in the business operation it will deliver the highest expected value and how it can potentially work out. This can be approached by addressing a few basic questions:</p>
<ol type="1">
<li>What exact business challenge or operational task do we want to solve or optimize?</li>
</ol>
<p>It should not be underestimated how important it is to scope and formulate the actual business need correctly, as a very first step. Be sure that you have internal alignment of the goal, as this is very important for success in the implementation!</p>
<ol start="2" type="1">
<li>Do we have a solid data foundation in that area of the business?</li>
</ol>
<p>An understanding of data quality and whether it allows to solve the desired scope, is crucial in order to obtain success. If data is not 100 % in place yet, your focus should be to ensure better data quality going forward, before implementing any decision making based on it!</p>
<ol start="3" type="1">
<li>Are we able to react on it and make it operational in our day-to-day work?</li>
</ol>
<p>Don’t get tempted into building decision making systems that you are not able to react on. The possibilities for creating data driven decision making are endless today and you can end up with overwhelming outcomes. Don’t forget to be realistic about the organizational or operational constraints, if you want it to succeed in the long run!</p>
<p>This may sound as an oversimplification of the task 😊 And it can of course be more complex than this. But it is crucial to address at least these above questions, before investing in the creation of any data driven decision making setup within your organization.</p>
<p>If you want to learn more about how we help businesses and organizations obtain new levels of growth through data driven decision-making, don’t hesitate to reach out.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Decision support</category>
  <category>Decision making</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Data driven decision making.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 27 Oct 2025 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>The Importance of Time-Varying Parameters in Marketing Mix Modeling for Media Attribution and Planning</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/About time-varying parameters in MMMs and their consequences.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<p>In the ever-evolving world of marketing, understanding the impact of each campaign on overall business performance can be a daunting task. This is where marketing mix modeling (MMM) comes into play, offering insights that help marketers quantify the effectiveness of their advertising spend across various media channels. One critical aspect of MMM is the consideration of time-varying parameters, which can significantly enhance the accuracy and relevance of these models for both attribution and future planning.</p>
<section id="what-are-time-varying-parameters" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="what-are-time-varying-parameters">What are Time-Varying Parameters?</h2>
<p>Traditional marketing mix models often assume that the effects of different advertising channels remain consistent over time. However, in reality, the effectiveness of media spend can vary based on numerous factors such as seasonality, economic conditions, competitive dynamics, and consumer behavior patterns. These variations necessitate the use of time-varying parameters to better reflect how these factors impact campaign performance.</p>
<p>Time-varying parameters allow MMM models to dynamically adjust for changes in the marketing environment. This means that the coefficients assigned to each media channel are not fixed but can change based on specific market conditions or other external influences, providing a more accurate representation of real-world scenarios and enhancing predictive power.</p>
</section>
<section id="importance-of-time-varying-parameters-in-media-attribution" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="importance-of-time-varying-parameters-in-media-attribution">Importance of Time-Varying Parameters in Media Attribution</h2>
<p>Media attribution is critical because it helps marketers understand which channels contribute most to sales and brand lift. Without considering time-varying parameters, models might overestimate the effectiveness of certain media types or underestimate others, leading to suboptimal allocation of marketing budgets. By incorporating time-varying parameters, MMMs gain many benefits.</p>
<section id="accurate-attribution" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="accurate-attribution">Accurate Attribution</h3>
<p>Accurately attribute sales uplift to specific campaigns by adjusting for seasonal effects and market fluctuations that affect different channels differently. For example, during economic downturns, consumer behavior might shift towards more price-sensitive purchases, affecting the effectiveness of high-priced media like TV commercials compared to digital ads which are often more flexible in budget allocation.</p>
</section>
<section id="seasonality-adjustments" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="seasonality-adjustments">Seasonality Adjustments</h3>
<p>Recognize that certain times of the year or days of the week have higher or lower response rates due to consumer habits and seasonal trends. This can help marketers adjust their spending patterns throughout the year, ensuring peak effectiveness around key sales periods like holiday seasons or product launch events.</p>
</section>
<section id="dynamic-market-understanding" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="dynamic-market-understanding">Dynamic Market Understanding</h3>
<p>Provide a real-time understanding of how market conditions influence media performance. This is crucial for agile marketing strategies that can quickly adapt to changing market dynamics and consumer behavior.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="enhancing-planning-through-time-varying-parameters" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="enhancing-planning-through-time-varying-parameters">Enhancing Planning Through Time-Varying Parameters</h2>
<p>For effective future planning, time-varying parameters enable more informed decisions about where to allocate resources:</p>
<ol type="1">
<li><p><strong>Budget Optimization:</strong> By understanding how each channel responds to different conditions, marketers can make better decisions about budget allocation across channels. For instance, during economic expansions, a higher spend on high-cost media might be justified if the model predicts positive returns based on historical time-varying effects.</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Strategy Adjustment:</strong> MMM with time-varying parameters allows for more flexible strategic planning. If a new product launch is expected to be highly dependent on digital marketing due to consumer behavior shifts online, then greater investment can be planned in this area rather than traditional media which might not yield the same ROI during that specific period.</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Performance Benchmarking:</strong> Establish realistic benchmarks and expectations for future performance by considering historical time-varying effects. This helps in setting achievable targets and making strategic decisions based on factual predictions rather than guesswork.</p></li>
</ol>
</section>
<section id="conclusion" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="conclusion">Conclusion</h2>
<p>In conclusion, incorporating time-varying parameters into marketing mix modeling is crucial for achieving accurate media attribution and enhancing the effectiveness of future planning in a rapidly changing market environment. By dynamically adjusting for changes in consumer behavior, economic conditions, and competitive landscapes, these models offer more reliable insights that drive better decision-making across various aspects of marketing operations. As such, businesses would do well to embrace MMM with time-varying parameters as an essential tool in their strategic marketing toolkit.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Analytics</category>
  <category>Measure</category>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Response Curves</category>
  <category>Time-varying parameters</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/About time-varying parameters in MMMs and their consequences.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Tue, 09 Sep 2025 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Elevate Your Strategy with AI Marketing Optimization Techniques</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Elevate your strategy with ai marketing optimization techniques.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/ai-optimization-v2.jpg" class="img-fluid"></p>
<section id="how-to-use-ai-to-improve-your-marketing" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-to-use-ai-to-improve-your-marketing">How to Use AI to Improve Your Marketing</h2>
<p>The best marketers don’t just follow trends, they stay ahead of them. And right now, the most powerful tool for doing that is AI.</p>
<p>If you’re not already using AI for marketing, you’re missing out. Not because AI is some magical solution that will instantly fix everything, but because it’s the most efficient way to optimize what you’re already doing. AI marketing optimization isn’t about replacing human judgment, it’s about sharpening it.</p>
</section>
<section id="why-ai-works" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-ai-works">Why AI Works</h2>
<p>Marketing has always been about finding patterns. What messages resonate? Which channels perform best? When is the ideal time to reach your audience? The difference now is that AI can analyze these patterns at a scale and speed humans can’t match.</p>
<p>For example:</p>
<ul>
<li>Personalization at scale. AI can tailor messages to individual users based on their behavior, something that would be impossibly time-consuming manually.</li>
<li>Predictive analytics. Instead of guessing what might work, AI can forecast trends based on historical data.</li>
<li>Automated A/B testing. AI can run hundreds of variations simultaneously, learning and adjusting in real time.</li>
</ul>
<p>The key is that AI doesn’t just give you answers, it helps you ask better questions.</p>
</section>
<section id="how-to-start" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-to-start">How to Start</h2>
<p>You don’t need a massive budget or a team of engineers to use AI for marketing. The simplest way to begin is by integrating existing tools:</p>
<ul>
<li>Chatbots for instant customer engagement.</li>
<li>Email optimization tools that adjust subject lines and send times for maximum open rates.</li>
<li>Ad targeting algorithms that refine your audience segments automatically.</li>
</ul>
<p>The best approach is to pick one area where optimization would make the biggest difference and experiment there first.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-pitfall-to-avoid" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-pitfall-to-avoid">The Pitfall to Avoid</h2>
<p>The biggest mistake people make with AI marketing optimization is treating it as a set-it-and-forget-it solution. AI works best when it’s guided by clear goals and human oversight. If you automate without strategy, you’ll just scale mediocrity.</p>
<p>The most successful marketers use AI to enhance their creativity, not replace it. They let the AI handle the repetitive tasks so they can focus on the big picture crafting messages that actually matter.</p>
</section>
<section id="whats-next" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="whats-next">What’s Next</h2>
<p>AI in marketing is still evolving. The tools will get smarter, and the best practices will shift. But the core principle won’t change: the more you use AI to refine your approach, the better your results will be.</p>
<p>The question isn’t whether you should use AI for marketing, it’s how quickly you can start.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>AI</category>
  <category>Marketing</category>
  <category>Optimization</category>
  <category>Guide</category>
  <category>Info</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Elevate your strategy with ai marketing optimization techniques.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 26 Mar 2025 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/ai-optimization-v2.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>The Quiet Power of AI Marketing Optimization</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/The quiet power of ai marketing optimization.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/ai-optimization-v3.jpg" class="img-fluid"></p>
<section id="the-quiet-power-of-ai-marketing-optimization" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-quiet-power-of-ai-marketing-optimization">The Quiet Power of AI Marketing Optimization</h2>
<p>If you’ve worked in marketing long enough, you’ve seen the same cycle play out repeatedly. A new tool or technique emerges, promising to revolutionize the field. Most of the time, it fizzles. But occasionally, something comes along that actually changes how things are done. Not because it’s flashy, but because it quietly solves a real problem.</p>
<p>AI marketing optimization is one of those things.</p>
<p>At its core, marketing is about allocating resources efficiently. You have a finite budget, and you need to spend it in a way that maximizes returns. The problem is that the world is messy. Channels interact in unpredictable ways. External factors, like seasonality or economic shifts distort the picture. And human intuition, though valuable, is often wrong when dealing with complex systems.</p>
<p>This is where media mix modeling (MMM) comes in. MMM isn’t new. It’s been around for decades, used by big companies to estimate the impact of different marketing channels. But traditional MMM had limitations. It was slow, expensive, and often relied on oversimplified assumptions.</p>
<p>AI changes that.</p>
<p>Modern AI-powered MMM doesn’t just run faster, it learns. Instead of forcing rigid models onto messy data, it adapts. It detects subtle interactions between channels that a human analyst might miss. It adjusts for external noise more accurately. And it does this continuously, refining its understanding as new data comes in.</p>
<p>The result? You spend less time guessing and more time acting on insights that actually work.</p>
</section>
<section id="how-it-works" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="how-it-works">How It Works</h2>
<p>The best AI marketing optimization tools don’t just dump a pile of data on you. They answer specific questions:</p>
<ul>
<li>Where should I allocate my next dollar?</li>
<li>How much of my sales lift is actually due to marketing?</li>
<li>What’s the real ROI of that influencer campaign?</li>
</ul>
<p>Traditional MMM might give you broad strokes: “TV ads work better in Q4.” AI-driven MMM can tell you, “Shift 12% of your spend from paid search to connected TV in the first two weeks of December, but only if competitor X hasn’t launched a promotion.”</p>
<p>This precision matters. Most marketing budgets are still allocated based on habit or hierarchy, the channels that “feel” important, or the ones that have always gotten funding. AI optimization cuts through that. It doesn’t care about politics. It just shows you what works.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-catch" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-catch">The Catch</h2>
<p>Like any powerful tool, AI marketing optimization has prerequisites. Good data, patience and a willingness to act is key.</p>
<section id="good-data" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="good-data">Good data</h3>
<p>If your tracking is a mess, no model can save you. You can’t optimize what you don’t measure. AI-driven MMM thrives on clean, structured, and comprehensive data. If you’re lumping all digital ads into “paid social,” you’re missing critical insights. Break it down by platform, campaign, and even creative.</p>
<p>Further, external factors such as Economic shifts, weather, competitor moves all influence performance. The more context you feed the model, the smarter it gets.</p>
<p>Most companies fail here not because they lack data, but because it’s siloed or messy. Before you even think about AI, audit your data pipelines. Fix the leaks.</p>
</section>
<section id="patience" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="patience">Patience</h3>
<blockquote class="blockquote">
<p>AI isn’t a crystal ball, it’s a learning system. The first outputs might not be perfect, and that’s okay.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The system improves over time as it learns. Early results might not be perfect. Early iterations will be rough as the model needs time to understand your business’s unique patterns. Don’t expect flawless answers on day one. Feedback loops matter meaning that the more you refine inputs and validate outputs, the better it gets. Treat it like training a new hire. You wouldn’t fire someone after a week. Furthermore, seasonality takes time to identify, the AI won’t fully grasp them until it’s seen at least two full year of data.</p>
<p>The biggest mistake? Abandoning the tool too soon because “it didn’t work immediately.” Real optimization is a process, not a one-time fix.</p>
</section>
<section id="willingness-to-act" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="willingness-to-act">Willingness to act</h3>
<p>The biggest waste isn’t using bad data; it’s ignoring good data because it contradicts your instincts.</p>
<p>The companies that benefit most from AI-driven MMM are the ones that treat it as a partner, not an oracle. They don’t just ask, “What should I do?” They ask, “Why does the model suggest that?” and then refine their strategy accordingly.</p>
<p>This can be more difficult than it sounds as we all have confimational biases that we have to deal with. It’s important to keep the following three guidelines in mind during optimization.</p>
<ol type="1">
<li>“Kill your darlings” meaning that if the data says your pet campaign is underperforming, you have to pivot. Sentiment can’t override math.</li>
<li>“Test aggressively” referring to if AI suggests shifting budget from Facebook to TikTok? Run a controlled experiment before going all-in.</li>
<li>“Empower decision-makers” is key. If the CMO overrides the model’s recommendations every time, you’re just paying for expensive confirmation bias.</li>
</ol>
<p>The best marketers don’t just collect insights, they act on them, even when it’s uncomfortable. That’s the difference between having AI and actually using it.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="the-future" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-future">The Future</h2>
<p>Right now, AI marketing optimization is still mostly used by larger companies. But like most technology, it’s getting cheaper and more accessible. Soon, even small teams will be able to run sophisticated MMM without needing a PhD in statistics.</p>
<p>The winners won’t be the ones who adopt it first, but the ones who use it best and who integrate it into their decision-making rather than treating it as a black box.</p>
<p>If you’re still guessing where to spend your marketing budget, you’re leaving money on the table. The tools to fix that are here. The question is whether you’ll use them.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>AI</category>
  <category>Marketing</category>
  <category>Optimization</category>
  <category>Guide</category>
  <category>Info</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/The quiet power of ai marketing optimization.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 19 Mar 2025 23:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/ai-optimization-v3.jpg" medium="image" type="image/jpeg"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/images/portrait-man-with-fantasy-unicorn-animal-cinematic-atmosphere.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>The funny thing about technology is that it has a way of creeping up on us. For years, people have been saying AI would change the world, but the hype seemed to fade out as soon as it came up. Yet, while we were all talking about robots and self-driving cars, it was in areas like marketing that AI found real, practical applications. Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) is one of those places where AI is making big changes not just minor tweaks, but fundamental shifts in how brands make decisions. If you’re looking to get ahead, or even just stay in the game, now’s the time to understand how this works.</p>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling used to be something only the big players could afford. It was complex, expensive, and largely outsourced. If a brand wanted to know how much TV ads moved the needle compared to digital, they would hire a specialized firm to analyze historical data, run a regression, and tell them what worked. These models were built to work in a specific context usually big marketing budgets spread across a few channels. But now, with a more complex media landscape and the rise of data-driven marketing, that model is breaking down. Today’s market needs something faster, more adaptable, and far more detailed. That’s where AI, and specifically Alviss AI, comes in.</p>
<p>AI brings a new kind of adaptability to MMM. Traditional models run on past data, looking backward to predict the future. But the problem with static models is they’re slow to adapt. This is why AI is a game-changer for MMM it learns as you go. If customer behavior shifts suddenly (think economic downturns or viral trends), an AI-driven model like Alviss AI can re-calculate and update itself, giving you an up-to-date answer instead of one that’s months old. This level of adaptability can make a big difference when you’re trying to move faster than competitors.</p>
<p>But AI in MMM is about more than speed. The key to better decision-making is clarity about what works and what doesn’t. For that, you need precision. That’s where Bayesian approaches come in, allowing models to account for uncertainty. In marketing, there’s a lot of noise seasonal effects, brand perception, competitor actions. A Bayesian approach handles that noise by not just estimating effects but quantifying how sure you can be about them. This is what makes AI-driven MMM fundamentally more useful: you’re not only seeing what worked, but you’re also getting a measure of confidence for each insight.</p>
<p>Another change AI brings is that it’s finally making MMM accessible. With platforms like Alviss AI, brands no longer need specialized teams to run the numbers or manage the modeling process. Anyone with basic analytics knowledge can set up, adjust, and run an AI-driven MMM model, and the insights are clear enough to apply directly. This shift means that even smaller brands can in-house MMM without sacrificing accuracy. The result? More control, more customization, and, often, lower costs.</p>
<p>If you’re running a brand or an agency today, you’re looking at a landscape that’s changing faster than it has in a long time. Channels are multiplying, customer behavior is fragmenting, and marketing itself is becoming harder to measure. The traditional approach to MMM, with long, expensive projects and static models, won’t keep up. But with AI-driven MMM, you get a model that’s always learning, always adapting, and always working at the speed of your business.</p>
<p>So, the future of MMM isn’t about more data or bigger models; it’s about having a tool that learns as fast as you do and doesn’t need a team of specialists to work. For most marketers, that means moving from outsourced projects to in-house, AI-driven platforms. This shift might be gradual for some, but the trend is clear. The brands that get ahead will be the ones that harness AI to make better decisions, faster. And that’s the promise of AI-driven MMM.</p>
<hr>
<p>This post is part of a 6 part series called “Mastering Marketing Effectiveness with In-Housed MMM”. The posts are outlined below.</p>
<ul>
<li>Post 1: <a href="The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html">The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 2: <a href="Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html">Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 3: <a href="Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html">How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</a></li>
<li>Post 4: <a href="DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html">DIY Marketing Mix Modeling: A Step-by-Step Guide for Brands and Agencies</a></li>
<li>Post 5: <a href="In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html">In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</a></li>
<li>Post 6: <a href="Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html">Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
</ul>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Mastering MMM Series</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>AI marketing models</category>
  <category>future of MMM</category>
  <category>Alviss AI advancements</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 09 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/images/portrait-woman-with-clear-bubble.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>One of the strangest things about Marketing Mix Modeling is that most companies know they need it but struggle to make it work. The theory makes sense: analyze past performance, measure the impact of different channels, adjust the marketing budget accordingly. But most MMM solutions have a kind of secret flaw. They work, but only if you’ve got endless time and a high tolerance for outsourced complexity.</p>
<p>Alviss AI was built on a different idea: that companies could actually do this themselves. That they wouldn’t just outsource MMM as an obligatory checkbox, but actually in-house it as a practical tool for driving their business. What’s surprising is how fast this approach pays off when companies make the switch. Here are a few stories of brands and agencies who in-housed MMM with Alviss AI and saw real results not months down the line, but practically out of the gate.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-retailer-who-cut-waste-and-improved-roi" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-retailer-who-cut-waste-and-improved-roi">The Retailer Who Cut Waste and Improved ROI</h2>
<p>This first example is a retail company with a lot of moving parts regional campaigns, seasonal variations, and a wide array of product lines. They had always outsourced MMM, but it was a slow and unwieldy process. By the time they’d get results from their vendor, the market had often changed, or new campaigns were already running. So, they’d constantly feel like they were reacting rather than adapting.</p>
<p>When they switched to Alviss AI, things immediately changed. Suddenly, they had real-time insights into their marketing effectiveness. They could run simulations to see what would happen if they shifted budget from one channel to another. And, maybe most importantly, they had the data themselves. They weren’t dependent on waiting for reports from someone else, and they didn’t have to deal with complex data pipelines.</p>
<p>The impact? They cut wasted spend by nearly 15%, simply by reducing investments in lower-impact channels. And because they were running campaigns in real time, they also caught seasonal changes that would’ve otherwise been lost in an annual report.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-agency-that-replaced-guesswork-with-precision" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-agency-that-replaced-guesswork-with-precision">The Agency That Replaced Guesswork with Precision</h2>
<p>Then there was an agency that had always struggled with MMM. Their clients loved the idea of optimization but were frustrated by the practical limitations. Most agencies don’t have the in-house data science resources to set up custom MMM for each client. For this agency, each MMM project took weeks and often relied on dated models and approximations, which meant a lot of guesswork.</p>
<p>Alviss AI solved that problem by giving them a platform they could use with little setup or customization. They plugged in their clients’ data and ran highly targeted models that could be updated at will. Instead of re-running an entire analysis every time a client wanted a change, they could simulate new budget scenarios or see what would happen if they adjusted certain campaign factors.</p>
<p>Now, their clients were no longer making decisions based on guesswork but on clear, concrete data. They saw a measurable increase in customer acquisition rates across nearly all of their accounts. Even more importantly, the agency noticed something surprising: their clients actually trusted them more. Clients could see what was happening in real time and could adjust budgets with far more precision. This allowed the agency to move focus from selling hours to providing value, all because they’d found a way to deliver more than just “ideas.”</p>
</section>
<section id="the-consumer-brand-that-finally-got-transparency" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-consumer-brand-that-finally-got-transparency">The Consumer Brand That Finally Got Transparency</h2>
<p>Finally, there’s the consumer brand that had long been at the mercy of opaque marketing reports. They used a traditional MMM provider, and while the results were often helpful, the process was always a bit mysterious. They’d hand over data, wait for weeks, and get back a black-box report with suggestions but no real visibility into how the results were calculated.</p>
<p>Alviss AI didn’t just give them data. It gave them transparency. Now they could see how every dollar in their budget was performing, and they could break down results in ways they never could before. Not only did they gain insight into high-performing channels, but they could also understand why those channels were performing better.</p>
<p>With Alviss AI’s Bayesian modeling, they saw more than just numbers; they saw probability distributions and confidence intervals. They could make decisions with a level of precision they hadn’t had before. Over two quarters, they doubled the accuracy of their predictions, which meant they could push more budget into higher-performing areas without increasing their overall spend.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-hidden-advantage-of-owning-the-model" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-hidden-advantage-of-owning-the-model">The Hidden Advantage of Owning the Model</h2>
<p>One thing these stories have in common is that all of these brands and agencies were able to achieve better results because they owned the model. It was theirs, it was immediate, and it was transparent. They could test new ideas without needing a new report. They could adapt to seasonal changes without waiting for an outsourced partner to catch up. And they could see precisely how changes in one area would impact results in another.</p>
<p>This is the real value of in-housing MMM: it doesn’t just improve results. It also changes the way you think about marketing. It lets you move from a rigid, slow model to something that feels almost alive a system that adapts and learns as you do.</p>
<p>With Alviss AI, brands and agencies don’t just run their marketing; they understand it. And as these stories show, that understanding has a direct impact on everything from waste reduction to ROI to client trust. It’s not a checkbox anymore. It’s a tool that works exactly when you need it.</p>
<hr>
<p>This post is part of a 6 part series called “Mastering Marketing Effectiveness with In-Housed MMM”. The posts are outlined below.</p>
<ul>
<li>Post 1: <a href="The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html">The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 2: <a href="Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html">Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 3: <a href="Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html">How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</a></li>
<li>Post 4: <a href="DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html">DIY Marketing Mix Modeling: A Step-by-Step Guide for Brands and Agencies</a></li>
<li>Post 5: <a href="In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html">In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</a></li>
<li>Post 6: <a href="Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html">Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
</ul>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Mastering MMM Series</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>MMM success stories</category>
  <category>in-house marketing mix case study</category>
  <category>Alviss AI ROI</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Tue, 08 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>DIY Marketing Mix Modeling</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/images/talented-child-doing-pottery.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>In-housing your marketing mix modeling (MMM) doesn’t have to be complicated. Until recently, most brands and agencies had to rely on external consultants or third-party platforms to understand how their marketing efforts drive results. But as MMM technology has advanced, it’s become more accessible. Today, a lot of the data crunching, modeling, and testing that used to take weeks can be done in-house and faster. That’s the real advantage of tools like Alviss AI. They don’t just let you analyze your marketing mix; they give you the flexibility to do it yourself.</p>
<p>The steps to set up your own MMM model are simpler than you might think, especially if you’ve got a handle on your data. Here’s a quick guide to get started using Alviss AI.</p>
</section>
<section id="start-with-good-data" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="start-with-good-data">1. Start with Good Data</h2>
<p>The first step to setting up a marketing mix model is having the right data. For MMM to work well, you need historical data on your marketing efforts, ideally from different channels. This includes media spend, impressions, clicks, sales numbers, or any other key metric you track to understand performance.</p>
<p>Your data doesn’t have to be flawless, but it does need to be consistent. Make sure you have similar metrics over similar time frames across different channels. If TV ads are tracked monthly and digital ads are tracked weekly, adjust so that you’re working with matching intervals. If the data isn’t aligned, your model will get messy.</p>
</section>
<section id="upload-your-data-to-alviss-ai" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="upload-your-data-to-alviss-ai">2. Upload Your Data to Alviss AI</h2>
<p>Alviss AI was built to simplify the data upload process. Once you’ve collected and organized your data, the platform guides you through the upload step. You can either drag and drop files or import data from integrated sources.</p>
<p>During this step, Alviss AI will help you format the data so it fits with the model structure. That’s especially useful if you’re working with mixed datasets that cover different channels. And once your data is uploaded, Alviss AI immediately starts crunching numbers, cleaning outliers, and aligning variables.</p>
</section>
<section id="choose-your-model-parameters" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="choose-your-model-parameters">3. Choose Your Model Parameters</h2>
<p>This is where things get interesting. Traditionally, marketers have had to rely on complex statistical expertise to tune their models. With Alviss AI, the platform helps set your model parameters based on the data you’ve provided.</p>
<p>Alviss AI uses Bayesian modeling, which is great for marketing data because it adapts as new data comes in. You start by choosing the main parameters: your primary KPIs, the weight of each channel, and the budget you’ve allocated to them. Bayesian modeling lets you easily run scenarios to see how different variables like seasonal changes or special promotions affect your results.</p>
</section>
<section id="test-and-simulate" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="test-and-simulate">4. Test and Simulate</h2>
<p>After setting your parameters, Alviss AI can show you simulations of different marketing mixes. This is where the platform’s Bayesian approach really shines. You can adjust budget allocations and immediately see the effect of these changes on your overall goals. Instead of waiting for a consultant’s report to come back, you can test ideas on the spot.</p>
<p>Want to see what happens if you put more budget into social media? Or what about cutting back on TV to see if it impacts sales? Running these simulations lets you test assumptions before you commit any real spend.</p>
</section>
<section id="analyze-and-refine" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="analyze-and-refine">5. Analyze and Refine</h2>
<p>Once you’ve simulated different mixes, you’ll have a clearer picture of which channels are contributing the most to your KPIs. Alviss AI provides a breakdown of results, showing how each channel affects your outcome and how changes in budget influence performance.</p>
<p>At this point, you might see things you didn’t expect. Maybe a channel you’ve been relying on is actually underperforming. Or maybe a smaller channel, like influencer marketing, is giving a much higher return on investment than you’d realized. The insights from this analysis let you refine your strategy with data you understand because you generated it.</p>
</section>
<section id="implement-track-repeat" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="implement-track-repeat">6. Implement, Track, Repeat</h2>
<p>Marketing mix modeling isn’t a “set it and forget it” tool. Markets change, competitors adapt, and your strategies should too. One of the strengths of Alviss AI is that it allows you to continually track and update your model as new data comes in. You can keep refining your parameters, simulating new scenarios, and adjusting your marketing mix as needed.</p>
<p>The more you use it, the more intuitive your modeling becomes. Instead of being locked into quarterly reports or waiting for insights from outside, you can be agile with your budget. You can act on trends as they happen.</p>
</section>
<section id="getting-started-with-your-own-mmm" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="getting-started-with-your-own-mmm">Getting Started with Your Own MMM</h2>
<p>Running your own marketing mix model in-house gives you more control over your data, budget, and insights. It also means you don’t have to rely on generic models or wait weeks for results. With tools like Alviss AI, brands and agencies can get more from their MMM by bringing it in-house.</p>
<p>So, start with good data, set up your parameters, and experiment. Once you’ve run a few scenarios and seen what’s possible, you’ll wonder how you ever trusted your budget to outsourced MMM in the first place.</p>
<hr>
<p>This post is part of a 6 part series called “Mastering Marketing Effectiveness with In-Housed MMM”. The posts are outlined below.</p>
<ul>
<li>Post 1: <a href="The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html">The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 2: <a href="Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html">Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 3: <a href="Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html">How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</a></li>
<li>Post 4: <a href="DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html">DIY Marketing Mix Modeling: A Step-by-Step Guide for Brands and Agencies</a></li>
<li>Post 5: <a href="In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html">In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</a></li>
<li>Post 6: <a href="Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html">Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
</ul>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Mastering MMM Series</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>MMM setup</category>
  <category>in-house MMM guide</category>
  <category>Alviss AI walkthrough</category>
  <category>marketing effectiveness DIY</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Mon, 07 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/images/international-day-education-futuristic-style.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>If you’ve worked in marketing long enough, you’ve probably heard that Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) is half science, half art. Traditional MMM can help companies make smarter choices about where to spend their budgets, but it’s not exactly foolproof. The more complex the data, the harder it gets to understand what’s actually driving results. Most models try to fit a lot of moving parts into one framework, and that leads to all kinds of uncertainty. And if you’re working with a lot of uncertainty, you’re bound to get hit with surprises some good, but often, expensive.</p>
<p>At Alviss AI, we take a different approach. Instead of just trying to squeeze every factor into a single predictive model, we use something called Bayesian modeling. And this isn’t just a fancy statistical trick. Bayesian modeling lets us embrace uncertainty rather than ignore it. By doing so, we get more accurate insights, which are exactly what marketing teams need to avoid guesswork and start making decisions based on what’s most likely to be true.</p>
</section>
<section id="embracing-uncertainty" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="embracing-uncertainty">Embracing Uncertainty</h2>
<p>The way most traditional MMM models work is that they take a bunch of data from different marketing channels and fit them into a single equation. Then, the model says something like, “Based on this data, we estimate that TV drives 20% of your sales, digital drives 40%, and so on.” But let’s be honest no one is ever 100% sure of those numbers. And what if a new data source or a competitor’s unexpected move shakes up the whole market? Traditional models don’t adapt well to that. They get locked into their initial assumptions, and you’re left guessing how reliable the numbers are.</p>
<p>Bayesian models are different. Instead of just making a single guess about how much impact each marketing channel has, Bayesian models give us a range of possible answers and the probability of each. This gives marketing teams a clearer picture of what’s likely and what’s not, so they can make decisions with confidence, even when the landscape changes.</p>
</section>
<section id="why-probabilities-matter" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="why-probabilities-matter">Why Probabilities Matter</h2>
<p>Here’s where Bayesian modeling shines. Let’s say you’re launching a big campaign and want to know how much to invest in different channels. With a Bayesian model, you don’t just get a hard number saying, “spend $500K on digital.” Instead, you get a range that says something like, “if you spend between $400K and $600K on digital, there’s a 90% chance of hitting your target.” Now you have something you can work with, something that reflects the real-world uncertainty of marketing.</p>
<p>In traditional models, there’s usually just one set of answers: “Digital has a 40% impact, TV has a 20% impact,” and so on. But in the real world, things are messier. Channels influence each other, customer behavior shifts, and data isn’t always precise. A Bayesian approach accounts for all this. It doesn’t just assume that digital will always have the same impact or that TV spending will produce predictable results. Instead, it shows you the most likely outcomes based on the data you have and keeps those probabilities updated as new data comes in.</p>
</section>
<section id="better-decisions-better-outcomes" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="better-decisions-better-outcomes">Better Decisions, Better Outcomes</h2>
<p>So why does any of this matter? Because when you’re working with better insights, you make better decisions. Marketing budgets are rarely flexible, and every dollar counts. With a Bayesian model, you’re not just placing your bets on a single number or relying on past data to predict the future. You’re looking at the probabilities, weighing the risks, and making decisions that are based on what’s most likely to work now, not last year.</p>
<p>At Alviss AI, we’ve built Bayesian models that are flexible and transparent. That means our clients can see exactly where the model is less certain and where it’s rock solid. It’s like having a compass that doesn’t just point north but also tells you if there’s a storm ahead. Instead of following an outdated map, you’re getting directions in real time, adapting to changes as they happen.</p>
</section>
<section id="the-value-of-transparency" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="the-value-of-transparency">The Value of Transparency</h2>
<p>There’s another benefit to Bayesian modeling that often goes unnoticed: transparency. Because Bayesian models offer a range of possible outcomes, they’re inherently more open about where the data is strong and where it’s shaky. Traditional models tend to hide these uncertainties, presenting a single answer as if it were gospel. But in marketing, there’s rarely a single “right” answer. Every market is a mix of shifting trends, customer behaviors, and unpredictable competitors.</p>
<p>With Alviss AI, we wanted to create a model that shows its work. If there’s high uncertainty around a specific channel’s impact, you’ll know about it. If the data points to a likely outcome, you’ll see that too. This transparency gives teams confidence in their decisions, knowing that they’re not just guessing. They’re working with a model that’s honest about its limitations and clear about its strengths.</p>
</section>
<section id="building-a-smarter-mmm" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="building-a-smarter-mmm">Building a Smarter MMM</h2>
<p>Using Bayesian modeling doesn’t just make Marketing Mix Modeling more accurate; it makes it smarter. The world of marketing is fast, and the smartest decisions come from understanding probabilities, not just hard predictions. With Alviss AI, we’re giving marketing teams the tools to see what’s most likely, what’s possible, and what’s risky.</p>
<p>When you have a model that accounts for uncertainty, you’re no longer working in the dark. You’re working with something that respects the reality of marketing that every decision has some risk, but with the right insights, you can make that risk work in your favor. That’s the kind of clarity that lets you invest confidently and get results that matter.</p>
<hr>
<p>This post is part of a 6 part series called “Mastering Marketing Effectiveness with In-Housed MMM”. The posts are outlined below.</p>
<ul>
<li>Post 1: <a href="The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html">The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 2: <a href="Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html">Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 3: <a href="Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html">How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</a></li>
<li>Post 4: <a href="DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html">DIY Marketing Mix Modeling: A Step-by-Step Guide for Brands and Agencies</a></li>
<li>Post 5: <a href="In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html">In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</a></li>
<li>Post 6: <a href="Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html">Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
</ul>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Mastering MMM Series</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>Bayesian MMM</category>
  <category>probabilistic modeling</category>
  <category>Alviss AI Bayesian approach</category>
  <category>MMM accuracy.</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sun, 06 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling and How In-Housing Can Solve Them</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/images/businessman-working-futuristic-office.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) has been a cornerstone of marketing strategy for decades, guiding brands on where to put their ad dollars for maximum impact. But for many teams, working with MMM has also been a bit of a headache. Between long turnaround times, limited flexibility, and high costs, traditional MMM models often feel more like a burden than a tool. So why do brands keep coming back to it? Because, at its core, MMM has value. It’s just that until recently, brands haven’t had a practical way to harness that value on their own terms.</p>
<p>Here are the top five challenges brands face with traditional MMM and how in-housing their MMM with a tool like Alviss AI can solve these issues.</p>
</section>
<section id="time-intensive-processes" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="time-intensive-processes">Time-Intensive Processes</h2>
<p>The traditional process of setting up, running, and updating an MMM model can be painfully slow. Many outsourced models are built on fixed cycles, often quarterly or annually, which means brands have to wait weeks or even months to see results. And that’s in a best-case scenario. If there’s a data error or a change in campaign strategy, that timeline can stretch even longer.</p>
<p>In-house MMM changes this dynamic. With a platform like Alviss AI, brands don’t have to wait on third-party schedules or deal with long data processing cycles. They can pull in their own data, run the models, and see results in real-time. This immediate feedback allows marketing teams to adjust campaigns on the fly, capitalizing on trends as they happen rather than analyzing them months down the line.</p>
</section>
<section id="lack-of-transparency" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="lack-of-transparency">Lack of Transparency</h2>
<p>Most traditional MMM models are built and operated as black boxes. Brands receive reports and metrics, but they rarely see the inner workings of the model. This makes it hard to understand which factors are really driving results and leaves brands at the mercy of their agency’s priorities or methodologies.</p>
<p>When brands bring MMM in-house, they get full transparency. They have access to every part of the model data, algorithms, and calculations. They’re able to see exactly how their investments are being measured and can dig into the details if something seems off. Alviss AI, for example, offers a customizable interface where teams can adjust parameters and see how changes affect results. Instead of getting pre-packaged answers, brands get insights they can tailor and trust.</p>
</section>
<section id="high-costs-of-outsourced-solutions" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="high-costs-of-outsourced-solutions">High Costs of Outsourced Solutions</h2>
<p>Marketing Mix Modeling can be expensive. When brands outsource MMM, they’re often paying not just for the model but for all the overhead that comes with an agency management fees, consulting hours, and complex software licenses. For many brands, this cost is a barrier to using MMM consistently.</p>
<p>In-housing MMM significantly reduces these costs. By moving MMM to an internal team and using a dedicated platform like Alviss AI, brands can cut out the middleman. They pay only for the tool itself and don’t have to worry about surprise fees or expensive consulting hours. And once they’re up and running, they have the flexibility to run the model as often as they want without incurring additional charges.</p>
</section>
<section id="lack-of-customization" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="lack-of-customization">Lack of Customization</h2>
<p>Every brand is different, but outsourced MMM solutions are often one-size-fits-all. Agencies tend to standardize their models because it’s more efficient, but this approach leaves brands with models that may not fully reflect their unique markets or marketing mixes. Brands with complex data needs, seasonality, or a specific target audience can find that a generic model doesn’t deliver the insights they need.</p>
<p>With in-house MMM, brands have the freedom to customize. They can adjust their model to reflect exactly what matters to them, whether it’s specific marketing channels, regional differences, or seasonal spikes in demand. Alviss AI makes it easy for brands to tailor models to their own strategies, allowing them to adjust the weight of different media types, add unique datasets, or create specialized models for different regions. This customization gives brands a level of insight that no off-the-shelf model can provide.</p>
</section>
<section id="challenges-with-data-privacy-and-security" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="challenges-with-data-privacy-and-security">Challenges with Data Privacy and Security</h2>
<p>When brands outsource MMM, they’re also sharing sensitive information about their campaigns, budgets, and customer behavior with a third party. This can raise privacy concerns, especially as data regulations become more stringent. Handing over this data to an external team isn’t always the most secure option, and it can limit how brands use and store their data.</p>
<p>In-house MMM addresses this issue by keeping all data in the brand’s control. Instead of sending data outside the organization, brands can store and process it internally, reducing the risk of data exposure. With Alviss AI, brands retain ownership of their data and can decide exactly how it’s used and shared. This added control makes it easier to comply with regulations and gives brands peace of mind about their data security.</p>
</section>
<section id="wrapping-up" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="wrapping-up">Wrapping up</h2>
<p>By bringing MMM in-house, brands are solving old problems with a new approach. They’re no longer waiting on long cycles or accepting a model they can’t see or customize. Instead, they get a tool that’s fast, transparent, cost-effective, and customizable. And with platforms like Alviss AI making in-house MMM easier than ever, brands have the chance to take full control over their marketing insights.</p>
<p>In-house MMM isn’t just about saving money or keeping data secure. It’s about having the power to react, adjust, and experiment at a pace that matches modern marketing. For brands that want to stay competitive, that’s the kind of control that makes all the difference.</p>
<hr>
<p>This post is part of a 6 part series called “Mastering Marketing Effectiveness with In-Housed MMM”. The posts are outlined below.</p>
<ul>
<li>Post 1: <a href="The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html">The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 2: <a href="Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html">Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 3: <a href="Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html">How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</a></li>
<li>Post 4: <a href="DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html">DIY Marketing Mix Modeling: A Step-by-Step Guide for Brands and Agencies</a></li>
<li>Post 5: <a href="In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html">In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</a></li>
<li>Post 6: <a href="Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html">Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
</ul>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Mastering MMM Series</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>MMM challenges</category>
  <category>in-house marketing models</category>
  <category>MMM transparency</category>
  <category>data customization</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Sat, 05 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/images/person-using-ar-technology-their-daily-occupation.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<section id="introduction" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="introduction">Introduction</h2>
<p>For years, Marketing Mix Modeling (MMM) has been a mysterious art handed off to specialists. Agencies or third-party providers managed the models, and brands waited for periodic reports to tell them how their marketing dollars were performing. But now, things are shifting. More brands are bringing MMM in-house, and it’s changing everything about how they approach marketing.</p>
</section>
<section id="drivers-of-change" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="drivers-of-change">Drivers of Change</h2>
<p>Why are brands choosing to take control of something they once happily outsourced? In one word: speed. Well, maybe three words: speed, control, and flexibility.</p>
<p>When MMM first became popular, data was scarce. You might have weekly or monthly numbers, so it made sense to work with a partner who would run the models on their own schedule. But now, data comes in constantly. With digital channels, brands can get data every minute. When you’re moving that fast, waiting weeks for an updated report is like navigating with last month’s map.</p>
<p>In-housing MMM lets brands update their models in real-time. They can see exactly how their campaigns are performing, make adjustments on the fly, and test new ideas without waiting for approval from someone else. It turns MMM from a lagging indicator into a tool that can drive immediate decisions.</p>
<p>Control is another big factor. Traditionally, MMM has been a bit of a black box. Most brands only saw the output, not the inner workings. They didn’t know how the model was set up or if it was giving them the full picture. In-housing gives brands access to the raw data and the model itself. They can tweak it to fit their specific needs, try out new data sources, or look at results from a different angle. They’re no longer dependent on the agency’s priorities or methodologies.</p>
<p>Flexibility is the third big driver here. Most agencies have a standard approach to MMM because it’s efficient to run models the same way for each client. But brands are not all the same. Some rely heavily on digital ads, while others might see better returns from TV or in-store promotions. An in-house team can customize the model to fit the unique needs of their business. They can even adjust the model for seasonality, regional differences, or any other factor that’s important to them. They’re no longer limited to a one-size-fits-all approach.</p>
</section>
<section id="enabling-the-transition" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="enabling-the-transition">Enabling the Transition</h2>
<p>The rise of platforms like Alviss AI is what’s making this shift possible. Alviss AI offers brands and agencies a way to do MMM in-house without needing a team of data scientists. It’s a platform that combines the latest machine learning techniques with an intuitive interface that anyone can use. Alviss AI handles the hard stuff data integration, model setup, algorithm selection so that marketing teams can focus on what the data is telling them.</p>
<p>There’s another side benefit to in-housing MMM: transparency. When brands outsource their MMM, they’re trusting a third party with sensitive information about their marketing spend, performance, and customer behavior. In-house MMM means they keep control over that data. They’re not handing over the keys to their marketing strategy to someone else. And in a world where data privacy and security are top concerns, that control matters more than ever.</p>
<p>We’re seeing a new era in marketing, one where brands have the tools and the data to make their own decisions. In-house MMM is just one part of this shift, but it’s an important one. It gives brands control over their data, lets them respond faster, and frees them from a one-size-fits-all approach.</p>
<p>Brands that bring MMM in-house are discovering it’s not just a way to analyze past campaigns. It’s a tool for shaping their strategy in real-time. And in a competitive market, that can make all the difference.</p>
<hr>
<p>This post is part of a 6 part series called “Mastering Marketing Effectiveness with In-Housed MMM”. The posts are outlined below.</p>
<ul>
<li>Post 1: <a href="The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html">The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 2: <a href="Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling.html">Top 5 Challenges in Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
<li>Post 3: <a href="Why In-Housing Marketing Mix Modeling.html">How Alviss AI’s Bayesian Approach Enhances Marketing Mix Modeling Accuracy</a></li>
<li>Post 4: <a href="DIY Marketing Mix Modeling.html">DIY Marketing Mix Modeling: A Step-by-Step Guide for Brands and Agencies</a></li>
<li>Post 5: <a href="In-House Marketing Mix Models Success Stories.html">In-House Marketing Mix Modeling Success Stories with Alviss AI</a></li>
<li>Post 6: <a href="Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven MMM.html">Future-Proofing Marketing with AI-Driven Marketing Mix Modeling</a></li>
</ul>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>Mastering MMM Series</category>
  <category>Marketing Mix Modeling</category>
  <category>in-house MMM</category>
  <category>Alviss AI</category>
  <category>marketing effectiveness</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/MasteringMMM/The New Era of Marketing Mix Modeling.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Fri, 04 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Include domain knowledge in the structure of Marketing Mix Models</title>
  <dc:creator>Johan Gudmundsson</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Include domain knowledge in the structure of Marketing Mix Models.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<p><strong>When developing models that intend to model the dynamics of a business, such as in business science models, there are many potential ways of modeling certain specific dynamics. Such as should the price response be linear, or nonlinear, where there are basically an infinite amount of possible functions that could apply.</strong></p>
<hr>
<section id="high-level-domain-knowledge" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="high-level-domain-knowledge">High-level domain knowledge</h2>
<p>We think the correct thing is to express high-level dynamics that come from knowledge of the specific business, which ensures sane causality.</p>
<p>For this example, we will do a small model that consists of online media (Online), offline media (Offline), brand awareness (Brand), net promoter score (NPS), product price (Price) and number of items sold (Sales)<strong>.</strong></p>
<p>Just from pure causality we know that the business buys advertisements in online and offline media and that drives Brand, NPS, and Sales. So by knowing this we can eliminate relationships such as illustrated in the figure on the right.</p>
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/Include domain knowledge in the structure of Marketing Mix Models-20241002155531582.webp" class="img-fluid"></p>
<p>Since we know this does not adhere to the correct causality of the real world. What one instead wants to do is to have a conversation with a person that actually understands the dynamics of the specific business to construct what is considered to be the correct causal relationship.</p>
<p>In this case, we assume that Brand and NPS are unrelated to each other since the brand measures a high-level awareness in the population and NPS is direct customer interaction. There is a possibility of NPS affecting the brand, but we will ignore that for the sake of this example. So for this case, we assume a causal relationship that looks like the right hand figure.</p>
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/Include domain knowledge in the structure of Marketing Mix Models-20241002155547415.webp" class="img-fluid"></p>
<p>This is a simplified version for illustrative purposes, in reality, there are most likely more factors and relationships that will come into play in a production model such as macro economical factors, seasonality, etc.</p>
<p>What one also should be able to encode on this high level is if there are any strict relationships such as when Brand goes up Sales needs to go up i.e.&nbsp;if more people know about the business and like the business sales should not be negatively impacted by this.</p>
</section>
<section id="low-level-domain-knowledge" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="low-level-domain-knowledge">Low-level domain knowledge</h2>
<p>For high-level domain knowledge, one thinks about the causal relationship between the different variables. With low-level domain knowledge, one focuses on how to model the specific ways to model a variable such as offline media, and how to model the interaction between variables such as how Offline Media and price interact to impact sales.</p>
<section id="variable-specific-formulations" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="variable-specific-formulations">Variable specific formulations</h3>
<p>Depending on what the input data is, such as online media, offline media, price, NPS, etc. they all need to be thought about carefully of how their dynamics behave and how to best capture them.<br>
Let’s take price as an example, one can assume that if the price goes up 10 % it will have a negative impact on sales, while if the price goes down 10 % it will have a positive effect on sales. Price might also have some non linear dynamics, such as a 30 % drop in price is 10x more impactful than a 10 % drop in price.</p>
<p>So one needs a mathematical formulation that captures this behavior in a sane manner. This could be achieved by to model it as the inverse of price, i.e., 1/Price. But it could also be modeled linearly by multiplying the price with -1, such a larger value would have a bigger negative effect. By model it linearly one adheres to the correct relationship of: if price goes up, sales goes down, if price goes down sales go up.</p>
<p>But one does not capture any non linear dynamics of an aggressive sale. But maybe an aggressive sale has never occurred as of yet, and a linear price response is additive in this specific case. As one thinks about these local dynamics one quickly realizes there might be exponentially many possible ways of modeling the dynamics of price and the other variables as well. So what one actually wants to do is to find a few ways of modeling dynamics with the right amount of flexibility and try all of them.</p>
</section>
<section id="interactions" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="interactions">Interactions</h3>
<p>How different variables interact with each other can happen in various ways. They can both contribute directly to the new variable or the could to turn the variable on and off, i.e., in the basic case one could model sales linearly like</p>
<p><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?%0ASales=Price+NPS+Brand+Online+Offline%0A"></p>
<p>With some coefficients in front of each variable. But maybe it needs some more complex dynamics with multiplicative effects</p>
<p><img src="https://latex.codecogs.com/png.latex?Sales=Brand%C2%B7NPS%C2%B7(Price+Online+Offline)%20"></p>
<p>Such as if the brand awareness is 0 one can not sell anything and if the customers are unhappy one can not sell anything.</p>
<p>Also here one quickly realizes relying on a single model structure is foolish. So also here we need to actually try several different ways of doing it. That is why incorporating some high-level domain knowledge such as “NPS needs to have a positive effect on sales”, can help limit the potential combinations.</p>
</section>
<section id="combining-specific-formulations-and-interactions" class="level3">
<h3 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="combining-specific-formulations-and-interactions">Combining specific formulations and interactions</h3>
<p>In our example above, Offline Media contributes to both Brand, NPS and Sales. But how offline media impacts and interacts with them may be different, so that is why one needs to try different combinations for each interaction. Below this is illustrated by having two types of modeling media and how that could impact Brand, NPS and Sales.</p>
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/Include domain knowledge in the structure of Marketing Mix Models-20241002155607893.webp" class="img-fluid"></p>
<p>The same setup holds true for Online Media, Price etc. Without actually trying what combinations it is very hard to tell which combination will prove to be the most successful. This comes back to the quote</p>
<p><strong>“All models are wrong, but some are useful” - George E. P. Box</strong></p>
<p>Where we know that the model will not be perfect, but by trying different combinations of how things are designed, one can hope to find a model that is actually useful. Rather than having a single model structure and force it to adhere to high-level domain knowledge while compromising low-level domain knowledge.</p>
</section>
</section>
<section id="model-combinations-at-scale" class="level2">
<h2 class="anchored" data-anchor-id="model-combinations-at-scale">Model combinations at scale</h2>
<p>As the amount of possible ways of modeling each variable grows one quickly get hundreds to thousands of possible combinations, so in order to actually be able to try all of the combinations and still have the correct uncertainty estimation from Bayesian Inference we rely on a technique called Variational Inference.</p>
<p>Variational inference turns the normal sampling problem of Bayesian inference into an optimization problem that is a lot faster to solve. So instead of a model taking hours to train it takes minutes to train. Combining this with elastic compute resources, one can fit the models in parallel further reducing the time to actually try all the combinations.</p>


</section>

 ]]></description>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>ML</category>
  <category>Adstock</category>
  <category>Regression</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Include domain knowledge in the structure of Marketing Mix Models.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 02 Oct 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <media:content url="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/Include%20domain%20knowledge%20in%20the%20structure%20of%20Marketing%20Mix%20Models-20241002155607893.webp" medium="image" type="image/webp"/>
</item>
<item>
  <title>Musings About Choosing the Right MMM Platform Provider</title>
  <dc:creator>Michael Green</dc:creator>
  <link>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Musings about choosing mmm platform.html</link>
  <description><![CDATA[ 






<div class="quarto-figure quarto-figure-center">
<figure class="figure">
<p><img src="https://blog.alviss.io/posts/images/person-using-ar-technology-perform-their-occupation.jpg" class="img-fluid figure-img"></p>
<figcaption>Image from Freepik</figcaption>
</figure>
</div>
<p>When agencies set out to select a marketing mix modeling (MMM) platform, it often feels like a big decision. And it is, but not always for the reasons people think. It’s not just about picking a platform with the right features, though that’s important. The trickiest part is knowing how it will actually work in your organization. You can compare features and pricing all day, but how it fits into your workflow is what really makes the difference.</p>
<p>The first question you have to answer is what you actually need from an MMM platform. It sounds obvious, but people often skip this. They rush to look at features before thinking about what success looks like for them. Are you trying to justify past media spend, or optimize future spend? Do you need real-time feedback, or can you live with slower updates? What level of granularity do you need in your data? Do you need a platform that can handle data from all the channels you’re using, or are there some you can ignore for now? You’ll get very different answers depending on what your priorities are.</p>
<p>Once you know what you need, you can start evaluating platforms. At first, it’s tempting to focus on technology. Does it use machine learning? How sophisticated are its algorithms? That’s not wrong, but it’s not the whole picture. The most advanced platform in the world won’t help you if it’s hard for your team to use or integrate into your existing workflows.</p>
<p>What you really want is a platform that does two things well. First, it should match the level of sophistication your team can handle. If you have an in-house team of data scientists, then sure, go for the cutting-edge stuff. But if your team isn’t that technical, a simpler solution that gives them clear, actionable results is going to work much better. Second, it should fit into your data ecosystem. Can it pull in the data you already have easily? Does it export results in a format that’s easy for your team to work with? These are the questions that will determine whether a platform will actually be useful day to day.</p>
<p>Another factor that people often overlook is how much support they’ll get from the vendor. In the real world, things always go wrong. You’ll hit snags with data integration or misunderstand how a feature is supposed to work. The quality of customer support can make or break your experience with an MMM platform. Good platforms come with good support. The people selling it know it’s not just about selling software; it’s about helping their customers succeed. You want to find a provider who will be there when things don’t work, not one that vanishes after the contract is signed.</p>
<p>And then there’s the question of cost. MMM platforms vary wildly in price, and it’s easy to get lured into buying the most expensive one because it feels like a safe bet. But the most expensive option isn’t necessarily the best for you. You have to think about total cost: not just the cost of the platform, but the cost of implementing it. How much time will your team have to spend learning it? How much work will it take to get it integrated with your systems? A cheaper platform that’s easy to set up and use could end up being a better investment than a pricey one that takes months to get working right.</p>
<p>Once you’ve picked a platform, the next step is integrating it into your organization. This is the part that’s easiest to underestimate. You might assume you’ll just plug it in and start getting results, but that rarely happens. Most MMM platforms require a lot of customization to fit your specific needs. You’ll have to clean up your data, figure out how to structure your models, and tweak the algorithms to fit your business. This takes time, and you should plan for it. The platforms that look easiest at first often turn out to have hidden complexity.</p>
<p>The best way to integrate an MMM platform is to start small. Pick one or two channels to model first, see how it works, and then expand from there. This lets you identify any problems early and work them out before you’re dealing with huge amounts of data. It also helps your team get comfortable with the platform gradually, instead of overwhelming them with a big, complex system all at once.</p>
<p>Selecting and integrating an MMM platform isn’t just a technical challenge; it’s an organizational one. You’re not just buying software, you’re changing how your agency works. And that means the people side of the equation is just as important as the technology side. If your team doesn’t buy into the platform or find it useful, it doesn’t matter how great it is on paper.</p>



 ]]></description>
  <category>MMM</category>
  <category>Attribution</category>
  <category>Software</category>
  <category>Platform</category>
  <category>Agencies</category>
  <category>Guide</category>
  <guid>https://blog.alviss.io/posts/Musings about choosing mmm platform.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Fri, 27 Sep 2024 22:00:00 GMT</pubDate>
</item>
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</rss>
